The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St. Johnstone 44.5%
Draw 27.7%
Falkirk 27.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.9%
26.4%
30.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
24%
33.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Johnstone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Falkirk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Johnstone than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Johnstone that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Falkirk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.7%
18.2%
9.1%
St. Johnstone - Falkirk Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. St. Johnstone will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Falkirk will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for St. Johnstone: 46.4% โ 99%.
1. Steward T. (G) 33. Smith L. 5. Mitchell Z. 3. Diabate C. 2. Alic E. 42. McAlear R. 8. Holt J. (C) 32. Campbell J. 30. Cotterill J. 7. Steven T. 9. Fowler J.
19. Bain S. (G) 22. Strain R. 21. Melniks D. 5. Henderson L. 3. McCann L. 16. Barbrook F. 8. Spencer B. (C) 23. Ross E. 28. Krauhaus B. 42. Eames O. 24. Murrell J.
Substitutes
19. Finlayson D. 18. Fotheringham K. 14. Foulds M. 99. Paton R. 22. Schmidt D. 20. Sinclair R. (G) 11. Stanton S. 25. Tait M. 26. Todd M.
47. Doherty A. 99. Fodrey C. 1. Hogarth N. (G) 9. MacIver R. 4. McMillan J. 15. Neilson L. 7. Parkinson B. 10. Sibbald C. 17. Tanser S.
Coaches
Valakari S.
McGlynn J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Diabate C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Diabate C. 🟨,
55', Campbell J. ↓, Finlayson D. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Ross E. ⚽, Eames O. (A),
65', McAlear R. ↓, Paton R. ↑,
65', Holt J. ↓, Stanton S. ↑,
67', Barbrook F. ↓, Sibbald C. ↑,
67', Murrell J. ↓, MacIver R. ↑,
75', Ross E. ↓, Fodrey C. ↑,
75', Eames O. ↓, Doherty A. ↑,
77', Mitchell Z. ↓, Schmidt D. ↑,
89', Krauhaus B. ↓, McMillan J. ↑,
90+1', Paton R. 🟨,
90+2', Alic E. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 1, Alic E. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 7th in the Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 10th in the Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
St. Johnstone is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Falkirk has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
St. Johnstone could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with St. Johnstone holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for St. Johnstone: Gullan J.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Falkirk: Gardner J.
(Inactive)
McLeod C.
(Inactive)
Yeats F.
(Inactive).
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, St. Johnstone has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:1 (averaging 1.3:0.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for St. Johnstone against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:1 goals (averaging 1.3:0.3 per game).
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Steward T. (G) 
Smith L. 
Alic E. 
Cotterill J. 
Strain R. 
Melniks D. 
Murrell J. 
Finlayson D. 
Paton R. 
Schmidt D. 
Valakari S. 
