Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 33

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	St. Pauli II		Hamburger II

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.7	2.1
	2.92	3.89	2.14
	2.96	3.91	2.03
	2.88	3.6	2.05
	2.8	3.7	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (3.05)	3.76 ↑ (3.39)	2.09 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Pauli II
31.7%

Draw
24.4%

Hamburger II
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

26.9%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

26.5%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Hamburger II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli II than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger II than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

St. Pauli II - Hamburger II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Goguadze N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Kiveta Ndongalasiya G. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Regionalliga North (Relegation) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli II won 0.

Recent form of St. Pauli II has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hamburg II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli II won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:43. (average 1.1:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli II won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	St. Pauli II	11	3	1	7	20:21	-1	10
16	Hamburger SV II	11	3	1	7	15:25	-10	10

Last Results with these Odds

St. Pauli II - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.89%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Pauli II
German Regionalliga North
06.05.26	St. Pauli II - Bremer SV	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Altona - St. Pauli II	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	St. Pauli II - Hannover II	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Phönix Lübeck - St. Pauli II	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Oldenburg - St. Pauli II	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TTLLL
- Hamburger II
German Regionalliga North
03.05.26	Hamburger II - Phönix Lübeck	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Werder Bremen II - Hamburger II	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Hamburger II - Kickers Emden	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Eintracht Norderstedt - Hamburger II	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Hamburger II - Schöningen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
13.12.25	Hamburger II - St. Pauli II	4:1
12.04.25	Hamburger II - St. Pauli II	4:2
06.10.24	St. Pauli II - Hamburger II	1:4
31.03.24	Hamburger II - St. Pauli II	2:0
30.09.23	St. Pauli II - Hamburger II	0:1
21.04.23	St. Pauli II - Hamburger II	2:4
14.10.22	Hamburger II - St. Pauli II	5:1

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