Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA NORTH - ROUND 37

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday


	St. Pauli II		Hildesheim

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	4.2
	1.6	4	4.25
	1.73	3.77	3.7
	2.1	3.5	2.88
	1.72	3.92	4.2
	1.7	3.9	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.12)	3.82 ↑ (3.5)	3.91 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Pauli II
52.5%

Draw
24%

Hildesheim
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

26%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

25.5%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Pauli II's performance.

Hildesheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hildesheim might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli II than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Pauli II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hildesheim than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hildesheim could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

St. Pauli II - Hildesheim Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Regionalliga North (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Pauli II won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Hildesheim could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hildesheim have a series of home games.

In this match St. Pauli II is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches St. Pauli II won 2 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-11.

Including matches at home between the teams St. Pauli II won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Pauli II
German Regionalliga North
13.05.23	Hannover II - St. Pauli II	1:0
07.05.23	St. Pauli II - Bremer SV	2:1 ✺
29.04.23	Kickers Emden - St. Pauli II	0:3 ✺
21.04.23	St. Pauli II - Hamburger II	2:4 ✺
16.04.23	Eintracht Norderstedt - St. Pauli II	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWLW
- VfV 06 Hildesheim
German Regionalliga North
14.05.23	Hildesheim - Werder Bremen II	3:0 ✺
30.04.23	Hildesheim - Phönix Lübeck	3:2 ✺
26.04.23	Hildesheim - Hannover II	0:2 ✺
23.04.23	Holstein Kiel II - Hildesheim	3:2 ✺
16.04.23	Hildesheim - Drochtersen Assel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
13.11.22	Hildesheim - St. Pauli II	3:1
09.05.18	Hildesheim - St. Pauli II	0:3
20.08.17	St. Pauli II - Hildesheim	5:0
20.05.17	Hildesheim - St. Pauli II	1:1
01.03.17	St. Pauli II - Hildesheim	1:1
30.01.16	St. Pauli II - Hildesheim	2:2
26.07.15	Hildesheim - St. Pauli II	4:1

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