Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga North - Round 20

Date: 26 March 2025, Wednesday


	St. Pauli II		TSV Havelse

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.8	1.68
	3.75	3.75	1.83
	3.95	3.85	1.7
	3.49	4.06	1.8	Watch
	3.3	3.6	1.91
	3.74	3.8	1.76
	3.75	3.75	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↓ (4.6)	3.8 ↓ (4.38)	1.79 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Pauli II
24.9%

Draw
24%

TSV Havelse
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

21%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

20.8%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

TSV Havelse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and TSV Havelse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli II than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Pauli II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSV Havelse than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TSV Havelse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

St. Pauli II - TSV Havelse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Herrmann M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Pauli II won 0.

Recent matches St. Pauli II is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Havelse is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Havelse could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Havelse is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches St. Pauli II won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 24:30 (average 1.3:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams St. Pauli II won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:15 (average 1.1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Pauli II
German Regionalliga North
19.03.25	St. Pauli II - Teutonia Ottensen	1:0 ✺
14.03.25	St. Pauli II - Oldenburg	2:2 ✺
08.03.25	Blau-Weiß Lohne - St. Pauli II	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	St. Pauli II - Kickers Emden	1:0 ✺
30.11.24	Eintracht Norderstedt - St. Pauli II	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTTWW
- TSV Havelse
German Regionalliga North
23.03.25	TSV Havelse - Lübeck	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Jeddeloh - TSV Havelse	1:3 ✺
08.03.25	TSV Havelse - Bremer SV	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Drochtersen Assel - TSV Havelse	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	TSV Havelse - SC Weiche-08	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
11.08.24	TSV Havelse - St. Pauli II	3:1
03.03.24	St. Pauli II - TSV Havelse	1:1
08.09.23	TSV Havelse - St. Pauli II	1:1
26.03.23	TSV Havelse - St. Pauli II	2:2
24.09.22	St. Pauli II - TSV Havelse	0:2
29.09.19	St. Pauli II - TSV Havelse	1:0
19.05.19	St. Pauli II - TSV Havelse	2:3

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