Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 28

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday


	St. Pauli II		Todesfelde

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4.1
	1.7	3.6	4.32
	1.8	3.6	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.57)	3.6 ↓ (4.33)	4.17 ↓ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Pauli II
52.2%

Draw
25.6%

Todesfelde
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

21.3%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

20.3%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. Pauli II's form might have worsened.

Todesfelde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli II than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Pauli II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Todesfelde than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

St. Pauli II - Todesfelde Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Bolter M. ⚽,
42', Achtenberg M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
77', Rave C. 🟥,
79', 2 - 0, Aigbekaen R. ⚽,
81', 3 - 0, Jahraus L. ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 0, Schroder T. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

St. Pauli II is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Todesfelde is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Todesfelde could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently St. Pauli II have a series of home games.

In this match St. Pauli II is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's St. Pauli II to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Last 2 head-to-head matches St. Pauli II won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Pauli II
German Regionalliga North
26.03.25	St. Pauli II - TSV Havelse	1:0 ✺
19.03.25	St. Pauli II - Teutonia Ottensen	1:0 ✺
14.03.25	St. Pauli II - Oldenburg	2:2 ✺
08.03.25	Blau-Weiß Lohne - St. Pauli II	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	St. Pauli II - Kickers Emden	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWTTW
- SV Todesfelde
German Regionalliga North
22.03.25	Meppen - Todesfelde	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Todesfelde - Werder Bremen II	1:3 ✺
08.03.25	Oldenburg - Todesfelde	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Todesfelde - Blau-Weiß Lohne	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Kickers Emden - Todesfelde	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
28.09.24	Todesfelde - St. Pauli II	2:4
Club Friendly
18.10.22	Todesfelde - St. Pauli II	1:1

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