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Current Win Probability
St. Pölten 40.9%
Draw 25.8%
Bregenz 33.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.8%
26.9%
21.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.4%
28.8%
19.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Pölten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. Pölten's form might have worsened.
Bregenz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bregenz's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pölten than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Pölten, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bregenz than the current prediction. (-13.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bregenz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
St. Pölten - Bregenz Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.25 - Bregenz (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bregenz (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Knett C. (G) 4. Szerencsi N. 5. Buchegger L. 15. Skogen S. 7. Amoah W. 8. Messerer C. 34. Krasniqi L. 10. Stendera M. (C) 22. Mane E. H. 45. Gabriel Jesus D. 9. Amon J.
31. Aizawa P. (G) 22. Au Yeong D. 3. William Rodrigues (C) 13. Henrique Cayres 43. Joao Cesco 14. Omotehara G. 80. Matheus Cecchini 20. Gabryel 24. Zaizen A. 10. Fetahu A. 23. Sealey L.
Substitutes
18. Altersberger T. 6. Borkovic A. 11. Gabbichler L. 28. Hartwig L. 27. Kolodziejczyk M. 32. Kurz M. (G) 19. Rupp P.
18. Araki D. 47. Dantas L. 25. Davies G. 1. Joao Paulo (G) 8. Nussbaumer L. 16. Rodrigo Souza 7. Rossi N.
Coaches
Sekerlioglu C.
Brenner M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Henrique Cayres ↓, Rodrigo Souza ↑,
35', Amoah W. 🟨,
37', Rodrigo Souza 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Gabryel ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Buchegger L. ↓, Borkovic A. ↑,
55', Szerencsi N. 🟨,
59', Skogen S. 🟨,
59', Amoah W. ↓, Altersberger T. ↑,
61', Altersberger T. 🟨,
62', Stendera M. 🟨,
67', Omotehara G. ↓, Davies G. ↑,
67', Matheus Cecchini ↓, Araki D. ↑,
72', Stendera M. ↓, Gabbichler L. ↑,
72', Szerencsi N. ↓, Hartwig L. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Gabriel Jesus D. ⚽, Altersberger T. (A),
80', Joao Cesco ↓, Dantas L. ↑,
80', Rodrigo Souza ↓, Nussbaumer L. ↑,
80', William Rodrigues 🟨,
84', Nussbaumer L. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 1, Dantas L. (Own goal),
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 12th and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pölten won 3.
In recent outings, St. Pölten has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bregenz is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Bregenz could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, St. Pölten is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, St. Pölten has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:11 (averaging 2.4:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for St. Pölten against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 9:7 goals (averaging 2.3:1.8 per game).