Match Info

Division 3 - Group 5 - Round 24

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Staal Jørpeland		Vindbjart

	1	X	2
	5.4	4.95	1.39
	2.33	3.69	2.47
	5.66	4.95	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↓ (4.95)	4.53 ↓ (5.4)	1.75 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Staal Jørpeland
22%

Draw
21.7%

Vindbjart
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

16.9%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

16.3%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Staal Jørpeland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Vindbjart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vindbjart might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Staal Jørpeland than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vindbjart than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vindbjart could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Staal Jørpeland - Vindbjart Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Steinsland E. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Steinsland E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 3 - 0, Steinsland E. ⚽,
80', 3 - 1, Svela S. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Staal Jørpeland won 1.

Staal Jørpeland is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vindbjart is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Staal Jørpeland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vindbjart is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Staal Jørpeland won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Staal Jørpeland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Staal Jørpeland
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
03.10.25	Hinna - Staal Jørpeland	0:3 ✺
28.09.25	Staal Jørpeland - Sandnes Ulf 2	5:2 ✺
22.09.25	Staal Jørpeland - Haugesund 2	3:2 ✺
13.09.25	Stord Sunnhordland - Staal Jørpeland	3:0 ✺
06.09.25	Staal Jørpeland - Vidar	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 47.7 WWWLW
- Vindbjart FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
04.10.25	Vindbjart - Madla	5:2 ✺
27.09.25	Stord Sunnhordland - Vindbjart	0:4 ✺
22.09.25	Vindbjart - Viking 2	5:1 ✺
13.09.25	Vindbjart - Djerv 1919	3:0 ✺
06.09.25	Torvastad - Vindbjart	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
10.08.24	Staal Jørpeland - Vindbjart	0:1
01.06.24	Vindbjart - Staal Jørpeland	2:2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
11.09.21	Vindbjart - Staal Jørpeland	2:3
21.09.19	Staal Jørpeland - Vindbjart	0:2
29.06.19	Vindbjart - Staal Jørpeland	1:1
29.09.18	Vindbjart - Staal Jørpeland	2:0
09.06.18	Staal Jørpeland - Vindbjart	4:2

Staal Jørpeland - Vindbjart: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide