Match Info

Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 21

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday


	Varhaug		Staal Jørpeland

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.60	4.40
	1.55	4.4	3.95
	1.62	4.4	4.07
	1.51	4.84	4.58	Watch
	1.56	4.15	4
	1.66	4.65	3.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.43)	4.51 ↓ (4.6)	4.14 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varhaug
58%

Draw
20.1%

Staal Jørpeland
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varhaug has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Staal Jørpeland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varhaug than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varhaug, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Staal Jørpeland than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Varhaug - Staal Jørpeland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Maeland R. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
77', 0 - 2, Eie D. ⚽,
85', 1 - 2, Auestad R. ⚽,
89', 2 - 2, Skjaeveland V. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 2, Skjaeveland V. ⚽,
90+7', 4 - 2, Auestad R. ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 4th and 10th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Varhaug carries the favorite tag into this contest.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Varhaug	22	10	6	6	41:34	7	36
10	Staal Jorpeland	22	7	5	10	45:54	-9	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varhaug IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
19.09.26	Flekkerøy - Varhaug	1:1 ✺
14.09.26	Viking 2 - Varhaug	4:0 ✺
05.09.26	Varhaug - Brodd	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Mandalskameratene - Varhaug	0:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
26.08.26	Varhaug - Sandnes Ulf	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLWWL
- Staal Jørpeland
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
21.09.26	Staal Jørpeland - Viking 2	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Brodd - Staal Jørpeland	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Staal Jørpeland - Mandalskameratene	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	Stabæk 2 - Staal Jørpeland	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Odd 2 - Staal Jørpeland	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 TWLLW

Varhaug - Staal Jørpeland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide