Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday


	Staal Jørpeland		Notodden

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.6	1.41
	5.4	4.45	1.45
	5.6	4.7	1.39
	5.92	4.93	1.42
	5.85	4.9	1.38
	5.6	4.9	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.6 ↑ (3.8)	4.75 ↑ (4.32)	1.41 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Staal Jørpeland
16.2%

Draw
19.2%

Notodden
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

21%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

20.2%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Staal Jørpeland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Staal Jørpeland's form might have worsened.

Notodden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Notodden's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Staal Jørpeland than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Staal Jørpeland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notodden than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Notodden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Staal Jørpeland - Notodden Predictions

Users Predictions: Notodden will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Staal Jørpeland has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Notodden is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Notodden is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Staal Jørpeland won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Staal Jørpeland
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
15.10.22	Flekkerøy - Staal Jørpeland	2:2 ✺
08.10.22	Staal Jørpeland - Ørn-Horten	0:1 ✺
01.10.22	Moss - Staal Jørpeland	1:0 ✺
24.09.22	Staal Jørpeland - Kvik Halden	0:4 ✺
17.09.22	Staal Jørpeland - Sotra	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLLLL
- Notodden
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
15.10.22	Notodden - Kvik Halden	2:1 ✺
08.10.22	Sotra - Notodden	2:2 ✺
01.10.22	Notodden - Egersund	3:2 ✺
18.09.22	Notodden - Strømmen	2:0 ✺
11.09.22	Flekkerøy - Notodden	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
12.06.22	Notodden - Staal Jørpeland	1:3

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