The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sotra 57.3%
Draw 22.6%
Notodden 20.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
57.3%
22.8%
19.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.3%
18.8%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Sotra have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Notodden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sotra than the current prediction. (-10%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sotra that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notodden than the current prediction. (+4%)
Sotra - Notodden Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Grasmo M. (G) 22. Bildoy M. 11. Haland T. 15. Hildal T. 19. Hjorteseth I. 3. Johansen A. 10. Kilen L. 24. Larsen E. 2. Ree K. 20. Torum D. (C) 6. Wik S.
1. Solas S. O. (G) 16. Bertelsen N. 7. Galta J. 2. Gunnerod J. 4. Hammerli J. (C) 8. Jorgensen S. 6. Larsen S. 9. Leandersson E. 10. Pettersen A. 23. Ryste A. 27. Wenneberg M.
Substitutes
27. Ekren V. S. 7. Falck F. 18. Jonassen J. 23. Lunde M. 5. Skar O. M. D. 16. Sulen R. H. (G)
5. Ahmed M. 12. Bergesen J. (G) 14. Foss-Erstad T. 22. Nordbo T. 15. Rasberg S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Ree K. (Own goal),
24', 0 - 2, Wenneberg M. ⚽,
28', 1 - 2, Kilen L. ⚽,
33', 2 - 2, Kilen L. ⚽,
35', 3 - 2, Kilen L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Johansen A. ↓, Skar O. M. D. ↑,
67', Ryste A. ↓, Ahmed M. ↑,
67', Pettersen A. ↓, Nordbo T. ↑,
71', 4 - 2, Kilen L. ⚽,
74', Hildal T. 🟨,
76', Larsen S. 🟨,
76', Hildal T. ↓, Falck F. ↑,
84', 5 - 2, Bildoy M. ⚽,
85', Larsen E. ↓, Lunde M. ↑,
85', Haland T. ↓, Ekren V. S. ↑,
86', Larsen S. ↓, Foss-Erstad T. ↑,
86', Jorgensen S. ↓, Rasberg S. ↑,
90', Kilen L. ↓, Jonassen J. ↑,
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 5th and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sotra won 1.
In recent outings, Sotra has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Notodden has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Sotra carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Sotra has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:13 (averaging 1.1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sotra against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:6 goals (averaging 1.6:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Sotra
25
14
3
8
58:31
27
45
6
Notodden
25
10
5
10
38:34
4
35
Last Results with these Odds
Sotra - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 57.32%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Norway
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Grasmo M. (G) 
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