Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 4

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Straume Fotballhall (Straume)


	Sotra		Notodden

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.7	4.75
	1.57	3.9	5.4	Watch
	1.61	3.7	5.84
	1.62	3.64	5.74	Watch
	1.67	3.87	4.7
	1.62	3.85	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.54)	3.78 ↓ (3.86)	5.22 ↓ (5.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sotra
57.6%

Draw
24.6%

Notodden
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

23.7%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

23.3%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sotra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Notodden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sotra than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notodden than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Sotra - Notodden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grasmo M. (C) 5. Davoy Skar O. M. 8. Foldnes H. 11. Heltne T. 19. Hjorteseth I. 9. Hoviskeland J. 10. Kilen L. 17. Koko J. 24. Larsen E. 2. Ree K. 6. Wik S.	1. Midtlyng T. (G) 20. Bjerkan B. 4. Hammerli J. (C) 2. Jacobsen N. 8. Jorgensen S. 18. Kyvik L. 6. Larsen S. 16. Ryste A. 10. Singh K. 9. Sissoko D. 3. Ullenes P.
Substitutes
22. Bildoy M. 18. Hanes J. O. A. 12. Kleppestrand O. (G) 14. Klett Straume K. 15. Lange L. 13. Osa L. 23. Ottesen M.	27. Hagen N. 17. Holthe J. 21. Nesland J. 31. Straand S. (G) 19. Svarstad S. 24. Telle T. 7. Ulsnes J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Wik S. ⚽,
20', Jacobsen N. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Ryste A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Bjerkan B. ↓, Holthe J. ↑,
52', Ryste A. 🟨,
60', 1 - 2, Ryste A. ⚽,
67', Jacobsen N. ↓, Svarstad S. ↑,
67', Ryste A. ↓, Ulsnes J. ↑,
78', Koko J. ↓, Klett Straume K. ↑,
82', 1 - 3, Singh K. ⚽,
83', Singh K. 🟨,
85', Jorgensen S. ↓, Telle T. ↑,
87', Holthe J. 🟨,
90', Larsen S. ↓, Hagen N. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sotra won 1.

Sotra is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Notodden is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sotra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sotra is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sotra won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.3:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Sotra won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sotra SK
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Sotra - Åsane	0:2 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
19.04.25	Vard Haugesund - Sotra	0:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
12.04.25	Djerv 1919 - Sotra	2:3 ET ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
06.04.25	Sotra - Flekkerøy	6:1 ✺
29.03.25	Lysekloster - Sotra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWWT
- Notodden
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
21.04.25	Notodden - Arendal	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.04.25	Notodden - Stabæk	0:3 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
05.04.25	Eik-Tønsberg - Notodden	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Notodden - Vard Haugesund	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Ullensaker Kisa - Notodden	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
21.09.24	Notodden - Sotra	0:0
06.04.24	Sotra - Notodden	2:1
08.10.22	Sotra - Notodden	2:2
09.04.22	Notodden - Sotra	2:2
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
11.09.21	Notodden - Sotra	3:0
18.08.21	Sotra - Notodden	0:0
01.08.20	Sotra - Notodden	3:0

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