Match Info

Division 3 - Group 5 - Round 22

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Staal Jørpeland		Sandnes Ulf 2

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.93	5.56
	1.4	4.75	5.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.53)	4.84 ↑ (4.44)	5.65 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Staal Jørpeland
65.5%

Draw
18.6%

Sandnes Ulf 2
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

20.4%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

17.1%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Staal Jørpeland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Staal Jørpeland's performance.

Sandnes Ulf 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Staal Jørpeland than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Staal Jørpeland that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandnes Ulf 2 than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sandnes Ulf 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Staal Jørpeland - Sandnes Ulf 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Arifagic D. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Steinsland E. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', 2 - 1, Norland H. ⚽,
49', 3 - 1, Steinsland E. ⚽,
59', 4 - 1, Steinsland E. ⚽,
60', 4 - 2, Barise H. N. ⚽,
66', 5 - 2, Halsne J. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Staal Jørpeland have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sandnes Ulf 2 has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Staal Jørpeland is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Staal Jørpeland won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:12. (average 2.2:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Staal Jørpeland won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Staal Jørpeland
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
22.09.25	Staal Jørpeland - Haugesund 2	3:2 ✺
13.09.25	Stord Sunnhordland - Staal Jørpeland	3:0 ✺
06.09.25	Staal Jørpeland - Vidar	3:1 ✺
01.09.25	Viking 2 - Staal Jørpeland	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Staal Jørpeland - Våg	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 39.8 WLWLL
- Sandnes Ulf 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
21.09.25	Sandnes Ulf 2 - Vidar	2:4 ✺
13.09.25	Sola - Sandnes Ulf 2	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Sandnes Ulf 2 - Stord Sunnhordland	3:4 ✺
01.09.25	Djerv 1919 - Sandnes Ulf 2	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Sandnes Ulf 2 - Vindbjart	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
19.06.25	Sandnes Ulf 2 - Staal Jørpeland	3:3
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
29.09.24	Sandnes Ulf 2 - Staal Jørpeland	2:4
12.04.24	Staal Jørpeland - Sandnes Ulf 2	0:0
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
13.10.23	Sandnes Ulf 2 - Staal Jørpeland	6:2
11.04.23	Staal Jørpeland - Sandnes Ulf 2	2:1

Staal Jørpeland - Sandnes Ulf 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide