Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 15

Date: 27 July 2026, Monday

Location: Nadderud Stadion (Bekkestua)

Referee: Heiberg P. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Play
Norway	TV2 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Stabæk		Hødd

	1	X	2
	1.38	5.25	6.50	Watch
	1.38	5.25	5.75
	1.38	4.90	6.40
	1.39	5.60	7.53
	1.37	5.57	6.56	Watch
	1.37	5.00	7.45
	1.39	5.25	6.25	Watch
	1.35	5.00	6.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.42)	5.23 ↑ (5.02)	6.59 ↑ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stabæk
67.9%

Draw
17.9%

Hødd
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

18.6%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

18%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stabæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Hødd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Stabæk aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hødd than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Stabæk - Hødd Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Stabæk (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Stabæk will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ulla M. (G) 2. Riise F. 4. Naess N. 5. Skjelvik J. 29. Ekorness K. 6. Matic A. 19. Lundemo M. 23. Wendt W. 24. Hanstad J. 8. Dahlby M. 20. Rapp G.	1. Kinn T. (G) 24. Robertsen J. 5. Mulac M. 3. Hanssen S. 14. Mikhail M. 10. Skotheim I. 7. Scarcella M. 8. Kallevag T. 6. Urnes H. 9. Streete C. 15. Elveseter V. H.
Substitutes
33. Aamodt A. 16. Hoven A. 14. Lereng E. 31. Lie A. 1. Lokkevik K. (G) 34. Myklebust L. 18. Oppedal O. 7. Solnordal O. 15. Veum O.	4. Blikstad E. 23. Gjerde F. 30. Hansen C. (G) 19. Mikkelsen S. 20. Nilsen-Modebe S. 11. Rawufu M.
Coaches
Kjell A.	Poulsen I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Rapp G. ⚽, Wendt W. (A),
28', 2 - 0, Wendt W. ⚽, Riise F. (A),
33', Wendt W. 🟨,
41', Hanssen S. ↓, Blikstad E. ↑,
45+1', 3 - 0, Dahlby M. ⚽, Wendt W. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
60', 4 - 0, Rapp G. ⚽, Skjelvik J. (A),
61', Lundemo M. ↓, Solnordal O. ↑,
61', Rapp G. ↓, Aamodt A. ↑,
68', Elveseter V. H. ↓, Rawufu M. ↑,
68', Streete C. ↓, Berisha J. ↑,
70', 5 - 0, Aamodt A. ⚽, Hanstad J. (A),
71', Riise F. ↓, Hoven A. ↑,
71', Naess N. ↓, Veum O. ↑,
77', Wendt W. ↓, Myklebust L. ↑,
77', Robertsen J. ↓, Gjerde F. ↑,
77', Kallevag T. ↓, Mikkelsen S. ↑,
78', 6 - 0, Hoven A. ⚽, Hanstad J. (A),
79', Hanstad J. 🟨,
88', Rawufu M. 🟨,
90+1', Urnes H. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Stabæk is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hødd has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Stabæk is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Stabæk won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Stabæk won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now

Stabaek: 0.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Stabaek	24	14	3	7	57:31	26	45
7	Hodd	24	10	4	10	40:48	-8	34

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.07.26	Ranheim - Stabæk	2:5 ✺
27.06.26	Stabæk - Bryne	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Strømmen - Stabæk	1:0 ✺
14.06.26	Stabæk - Egersund	3:1 ✺
30.05.26	Moss - Stabæk	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWT
- IL Hødd
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.07.26	Hødd - Strømsgodset	4:3 ✺
27.06.26	Lyn - Hødd	1:4 ✺
21.06.26	Odd - Hødd	0:0 ✺
14.06.26	Hødd - Kongsvinger	1:2 ✺
31.05.26	Bryne - Hødd	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.1 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
25.10.25	Hødd - Stabæk	1:3
31.03.25	Stabæk - Hødd	1:1
25.08.13	Stabæk - Hødd	2:1
28.04.13	Hødd - Stabæk	1:0

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