Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 11

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Nadderud Stadion (Bekkestua)

Referee: Valen O. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Norway	TV2 Play


	Stabæk		Egersund

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.33	4.5
	1.61	4.20	4.20
	1.65	4.25	4.35
	1.65	4.49	4.61
	1.64	4.38	4.46	Watch
	1.62	4	4.2
	1.62	4.33	4.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.82)	4.28 ↑ (3.83)	4.4 ↑ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stabæk
57.1%

Draw
21.7%

Egersund
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

24.2%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

23.4%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stabæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stabæk's performance.

Egersund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egersund than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Stabæk - Egersund Predictions

Users Predictions: Stabæk will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ulla M. (G) 2. Riise F. 4. Naess N. 5. Skjelvik J. 29. Ekorness K. 7. Solnordal O. 19. Lundemo M. 23. Wendt W. 24. Hanstad J. 8. Dahlby M. 10. Olderheim S.	1. Lonning S. A. A. (G) 21. Eggen K. 31. Jonsson I. 3. Maeland B. 18. Hovland P. 8. Sleveland C. 22. Tadesse H. 27. Vatne S. 14. Lynum J. 9. Kapskarmo O. 29. Haheim-Elveseter M.
Substitutes
33. Aamodt A. 20. Boesen O. 16. Hoven A. 1. Lokkevik K. (G) 6. Matic A. 34. Myklebust L. 18. Oppedal O. 28. Tobiassen B. 15. Veum O.	12. Bergene S. (G) 28. Chrupalla P. 91. Davis S. 25. Gregersen J. 2. Kleppa H. 10. Michalsen S. R. 6. Saetherbo K. 7. Tornvig N.
Coaches
Kjell A.	Johansen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Olderheim S. ⚽, Wendt W. (A),
56', 1 - 1, Vatne S. ⚽, Jonsson I. (A),
60', Lundemo M. ↓, Tobiassen B. ↑,
69', Lynum J. ↓, Tornvig N. ↑,
71', Naess N. 🟨,
74', 2 - 1, Dahlby M. ⚽, Olderheim S. (A),
75', Wendt W. ↓, Matic A. ↑,
75', Haheim-Elveseter M. ↓, Kleppa H. ↑,
75', Eggen K. ↓, Michalsen S. R. ↑,
86', Hanstad J. ↓, Hoven A. ↑,
86', Solnordal O. ↓, Boesen O. ↑,
88', 3 - 1, Riise F. ⚽, Tobiassen B. (A),
89', Maeland B. 🟨,
89', Tadesse H. ↓, Saetherbo K. ↑,
89', Vatne S. ↓, Chrupalla P. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

Stabæk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Egersund is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Stabæk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Stabæk is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stabæk won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.6:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Stabæk won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 2:3).

Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now

Stabaek: 0.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Stabaek	24	14	3	7	57:31	26	45
9	Egersund	24	8	5	11	36:49	-13	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
30.05.26	Moss - Stabæk	2:2 ✺
25.05.26	Stabæk - Kongsvinger	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Sogndal - Stabæk	2:2 ✺
16.05.26	Stabæk - Raufoss	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Sandnes Ulf - Stabæk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWTLW
- Egersunds IK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
31.05.26	Egersund - Strømsgodset	0:5 ✺
25.05.26	Hødd - Egersund	3:1 ✺
20.05.26	Egersund - Lyn	0:0 ✺
15.05.26	Sandnes Ulf - Egersund	4:2 ✺
11.05.26	Egersund - Odd	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
13.03.26	Stabæk - Egersund	1:1
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
13.09.25	Egersund - Stabæk	1:1
18.06.25	Stabæk - Egersund	1:3
25.09.24	Egersund - Stabæk	2:1
27.05.24	Stabæk - Egersund	4:5

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