Match Info

Division 3 - Group 6 - Round 22

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday


	Stabæk 2		Sarpsborg 2

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.45	4.25
	1.56	4.55	4.05
	1.65	4.50	3.96	Watch
	1.49	4.88	4.88
	2	3.8	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (2.02)	4.44 ↑ (4)	3.99 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stabæk 2
56.1%

Draw
20.8%

Sarpsborg 2
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

22.7%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

22.8%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stabæk 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stabæk 2's performance.

Sarpsborg 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarpsborg 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stabæk 2 than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stabæk 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 2 than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarpsborg 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Stabæk 2 - Sarpsborg 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Stabæk 2 will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Sarpsborg 2 will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Stabæk 2 (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Sarpsborg 2 (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
35', 1 - 0, Cedergren A. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Bengescu A. F. ⚽,
41', 2 - 1, Ferrington R. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 3 - 1, Cedergren A. ⚽,
77', Ludvigsen H. 🟥,
87', 3 - 2, Norman E. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 8).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Stabæk 2 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Stabæk 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.7:3).

Including home match between the teams, Stabæk 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stabæk 2 Fotball
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
22.09.25	Odd 2 - Stabæk 2	5:1 ✺
14.09.25	Fredrikstad 2 - Stabæk 2	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Stabæk 2 - Grei	1:4 ✺
31.08.25	Ready - Stabæk 2	6:2 ✺
24.08.25	Stabæk 2 - Ørn-Horten	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLLL
- Sarpsborg 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
22.09.25	Sarpsborg 2 - Grei	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Ørn-Horten - Sarpsborg 2	5:1 ✺
06.09.25	Sarpsborg 2 - Lokomotiv Oslo	1:1 ✺
01.09.25	Pors 2 - Sarpsborg 2	3:2 ✺
24.08.25	Sarpsborg 2 - Flint	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
09.06.25	Sarpsborg 2 - Stabæk 2	2:0
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
26.10.19	Stabæk 2 - Sarpsborg 2	0:4
29.04.19	Sarpsborg 2 - Stabæk 2	3:2

Stabæk 2 - Sarpsborg 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide