Match Info

CAF Champions League - Round 3

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade du 26 Mars (Bamako)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport Maximo 360
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
Canada	beIN Connect
Kenya	Gotv
Nigeria	SuperSport Action
South-africa	SuperSport Action
Tanzania	ZBC 2 Tanzania
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Stade Malien		Atlético Petróleos de Luanda

	1	X	2
	1.85	2.9	4.33	Watch
	1.92	2.98	4.25	Watch
	1.98	2.95	4.21
	1.98	3.01	4.33	Watch
	1.95	2.8	4
	1.92	2.91	4.25	Watch
	1.93	3.1	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.64)	2.95 ↓ (3.01)	4.24 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stade Malien
47.4%

Draw
31%

Atlético Petróleos de Luanda
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

31.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

32.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Malien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stade Malien's performance.

Atlético Petróleos de Luanda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Petróleos de Luanda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Malien than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stade Malien that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Petróleos de Luanda than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Petróleos de Luanda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stade Malien - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Atlético Petróleos (1.72) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Petróleos (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Traore N. (G) 28. Bode A. 5. Diarra B. 36. Simpara I. 13. Awine F. 8. Mandjan H. 18. Traore M. (C) 12. Bello A. 7. Coulibaly O. 34. Nkeng T. 10. Coulibaly D.	1. Marques H. (G) 4. Constantino Aderito R. 24. Kinito 25. Afonso E. (C) 27. Hossi A. 8. Toro J. 20. Pereira J. 17. Vanilson 33. Ilidio A. 23. Tiago Reis 12. Benny
Substitutes
32. Asamoah G. 6. Camara M. 21. Conde M. 4. Coulibaly A. 11. Diallo M. 15. Hama B. 25. Konare S. 19. Simpara Z. 16. Sy C. (G)	22. Augusto (G) 11. Costinha 7. Cruz A. 9. Julinho 37. Maya 19. Paciencia J. 30. Soba P. 18. Vidinho 35. Zacarias V.
Coaches
Njoya M.	Flavio

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Coulibaly D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Nkeng T. ⚽, Traore M. (A),
59', 2 - 0, Traore M. ⚽, Coulibaly O. (A),
61', Vanilson ↓, Zacarias V. ↑,
62', Ilidio A. ↓, Costinha ↑,
66', Nkeng T. ↓, Simpara Z. ↑,
72', Toro J. ↓, Julinho ↑,
72', Tiago Reis ↓, Paciencia J. ↑,
83', Afonso E. ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
85', Coulibaly O. ↓, Diallo M. ↑,
90+2', Bello A. ↓, Coulibaly A. ↑,

Preview

Stade Malien is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atlético Petróleos is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Atlético Petróleos has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Stade Malien won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Including home match between the teams, Stade Malien won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Malien
Malian Première Division
17.01.26	Stade Malien - Mali Coura	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Bougouni - Stade Malien	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Stade Malien - Onze Créateurs	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Stade Malien - Derby Académie	3:0 ✺
21.12.25	Bougouba - Stade Malien	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTWWW
- Atlético Petróleos de Luanda
Angolan Girabola
13.01.26	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Guelson	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Redonda	1:0 ✺
03.12.25	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Kabuscorp	2:1 ✺
CAF Champions League
29.11.25	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Espérance ST	1:1 ✺
Angolan Girabola
26.11.25	Luanda City - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

CAF Confederation Cup
12.01.19	Stade Malien - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda	1:1

Stade Malien - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide