Match Info

Challenge League - Round 33

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Colovray Sports Centre (Nyon)

Referee: Jaussi J. (Sui)


	Stade Nyonnais		Wil 1900

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.4
	2.62	3.5	2.35
	2.88	3.7	2.41
	2.8	3.68	2.3	Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.25
	2.75	3.38	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.87)	3.47 ↑ (3.37)	2.33 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stade Nyonnais
33.9%

Draw
26.6%

Wil 1900
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

27.4%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

26.2%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Nyonnais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Wil 1900 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Nyonnais than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wil 1900 than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Stade Nyonnais - Wil 1900 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Stade Nyonnais will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Wil will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mazzeo M. (G) 12. Jaquenoud L. 71. Richard G. (C) 4. Soro K. 3. Correia R. 10. Diomande B. 14. Simo J. 8. Bega L. 22. Bah Mendes I. 18. Manquant J. 24. Borges F.	1. Muslija G. (G) 21. Saho U. 2. Nwannah U. 15. Schmid Y. (C) 19. Schreiber L. 13. Kaiba D. 8. Bunjaku O. 17. Staubli T. 33. Dalipi L. 11. Breedijk L. 23. N'djoli J.
Substitutes
68. Alili B. 40. Aubert M. (G) 17. Aymon Y. 20. Brandy E. 77. Edougue S. 32. Ghia J. 15. Grognuz N. 6. Okuka M. 31. Rodriguez P.	25. Aliu X. 30. Correia S. 7. Coulibaly P. 31. Diet Y. B. 10. Hajij M. 4. Jacovic D. 16. Keller J. (G) 14. Rapp S. 24. Tisch-Rottensteiner S.
Coaches
Binotto A.	Hammerli M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Schmid Y. 🟨,
25', Bunjaku O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Borges F. ↓, Edougue S. ↑,
59', Bah Mendes I. ↓, Alili B. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, N'djoli J. ⚽, Breedijk L. (A),
69', Bunjaku O. ↓, Jacovic D. ↑,
73', Diomande B. ↓, Ghia J. ↑,
73', Bega L. ↓, Okuka M. ↑,
77', Manquant J. ↓, Aymon Y. ↑,
80', Breedijk L. ↓, Hajij M. ↑,
80', N'djoli J. ↓, Rapp S. ↑,
86', Schreiber L. 🟨,
90+2', Staubli T. ↓, Aliu X. ↑,
90+3', Schreiber L. ↓, Correia S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stade Nyonnais won 1.

Stade Nyonnais has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Wil has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Stade Nyonnais: Ghia J. (Injury) Mastil M. (Hernia) Parra H. (Injury)

There will not play in Wil: Ato-Zandanga N. (Injury) Bytyqi E. (Injury) Ndau K. (Yellow Cards) Selmonaj J. (Inactive)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Stade Nyonnais won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Stade Nyonnais won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Wil	9	2	3	4	15:21	-6	9
10	Stade Nyonnais	9	0	2	7	6:23	-17	2

Last Results with these Odds

Stade Nyonnais - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.09%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Wil 1900 - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.53%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Nyonnais
Swiss Challenge League
24.04.26	Stade Nyonnais - Vaduz	1:3 ✺
18.04.26	Bellinzona - Stade Nyonnais	4:0 ✺
10.04.26	Neuchâtel Xamax - Stade Nyonnais	4:1 ✺
06.04.26	Stade Nyonnais - Yverdon	1:4 ✺
03.04.26	Étoile Carouge - Stade Nyonnais	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLT
- Wil 1900
Swiss Challenge League
25.04.26	Wil 1900 - Aarau	2:2 ✺
17.04.26	Étoile Carouge - Wil 1900	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Rapperswil-Jona - Wil 1900	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Wil 1900 - Neuchâtel Xamax	5:2 ✺
03.04.26	Lausanne Ouchy - Wil 1900	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
01.02.26	Wil 1900 - Stade Nyonnais	0:0
14.12.25	Wil 1900 - Stade Nyonnais	1:0
03.10.25	Stade Nyonnais - Wil 1900	2:1
04.04.25	Stade Nyonnais - Wil 1900	0:2
15.02.25	Wil 1900 - Stade Nyonnais	2:1
18.10.24	Stade Nyonnais - Wil 1900	3:1
10.08.24	Wil 1900 - Stade Nyonnais	0:3

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