Match Info

Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 23

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade Hedi-Enneifer (Le Bardo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport, Watania 1


	Stade Tunisien		Étoile du Sahel

	1	X	2
	2.22	2.68	3.45
	2.18	2.87	3.78
	2.39	2.59	3.54	Watch
	2.2	2.7	3.5
	2.18	2.91	3.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.97)	2.75 ↓ (3.02)	3.6 ↓ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stade Tunisien
41.1%

Draw
33.4%

Étoile du Sahel
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

30.5%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

31.9%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Tunisien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stade Tunisien's form might have worsened.

Étoile du Sahel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Tunisien than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stade Tunisien, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile du Sahel than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Stade Tunisien - Étoile du Sahel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Farhati N. (G) 14. Camara B. 30. Diop P. 18. Khemissi M. 4. Ndaw A. 80. N'Diaye A. 2. Riahi M. 8. Saafi Y. 34. Sahraoui M. (C) 3. Saihi A. 25. Sghaier S.	32. Ben Hessen S. (G) 8. Abid O. 30. Anane R. 25. Ben Choug F. 18. Cristo 6. Gbo C. 5. Hnid N. 22. Horchani A. 3. Naouali G. (C) 2. Omija A. 11. Senghor M.
Substitutes
68. Dhaflaoui Y. 16. Dkhili A. (G) 19. Haboubi A. 17. Hanchi A. . Jelassi M. 7. Ouerghemmi W. 20. Smaali M. . Tapsoba S. 21. Toure Y.	29. Ben Amor M. 7. Ben Seghaier M. 19. Bouslama M. 33. Dagdoug H. . Diawara M. 31. Najjar R. 23. Ouertani M. A. 17. Smichi N. 1. Youssef K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Camara B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
87', 1 - 1, Smichi N. ⚽, Ben Seghaier M. (A),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stade Tunisien won 3.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Stade Tunisien could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stade Tunisien won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Stade Tunisien won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Stade Tunisien	3	1	1	1	5:4	1	4
10	Etoile Sahel	4	1	1	2	5:6	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Tunisien
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
28.02.26	Marsa - Stade Tunisien	0:4 ✺
21.02.26	Espérance ST - Stade Tunisien	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Stade Tunisien - Olympique Béja	3:2 ✺
01.02.26	Métlaoui - Stade Tunisien	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Stade Tunisien - Soliman	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWTW
- Étoile du Sahel
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
28.02.26	Étoile du Sahel - Soliman	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	JS Kairouan - Étoile du Sahel	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Étoile du Sahel - Monastir	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Gabès - Étoile du Sahel	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Étoile du Sahel - Ben Guerdane	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
01.10.25	Étoile du Sahel - Stade Tunisien	1:1
Tunisian Cup
18.05.25	Étoile du Sahel - Stade Tunisien	0:1
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
19.02.25	Stade Tunisien - Étoile du Sahel	1:3
20.10.24	Étoile du Sahel - Stade Tunisien	0:1
Tunisian Cup
23.06.24	Étoile du Sahel - Stade Tunisien	2:4 ET
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
25.05.24	Étoile du Sahel - Stade Tunisien	0:0
17.03.24	Stade Tunisien - Étoile du Sahel	1:1

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