Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 13

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Stafford Rangers		Bamber Bridge

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.25
	2.55	3.4	2.4
	2.5	3.48	2.38
	2.51	3.48	2.39
	2.6	3.6	2.2
	2.61	3.34	2.39
	2.55	3.4	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.65)	3.44 ↓ (3.46)	2.34 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stafford Rangers
35.3%

Draw
26.2%

Bamber Bridge
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

26.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

26%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stafford Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Bamber Bridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stafford Rangers than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bamber Bridge than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Stafford Rangers - Bamber Bridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stafford won 2.

Stafford is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bamber is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bamber could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Stafford won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Stafford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stafford Rangers
English NPL Premier Division
14.10.23	Guiseley - Stafford Rangers	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Stafford Rangers - Sporting Khalsa	3:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
30.09.23	Stafford Rangers - Bradford Park Avenue	0:0 ✺
26.09.23	Stafford Rangers - Hyde United	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Macclesfield Town - Stafford Rangers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWTLL
- Bamber Bridge
English NPL Premier Division
30.09.23	Ilkeston - Bamber Bridge	1:0 ✺
26.09.23	Atherton Collieries - Bamber Bridge	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Bamber Bridge - Morpeth Town	3:3 ✺
09.09.23	Bamber Bridge - Guiseley	0:2 ✺
28.08.23	Bamber Bridge - Workington	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
11.03.23	Bamber Bridge - Stafford Rangers	2:1
13.08.22	Stafford Rangers - Bamber Bridge	4:2
12.02.22	Bamber Bridge - Stafford Rangers	1:3
06.11.21	Stafford Rangers - Bamber Bridge	1:2
02.11.19	Bamber Bridge - Stafford Rangers	2:0
16.02.19	Stafford Rangers - Bamber Bridge	1:0
29.09.18	Bamber Bridge - Stafford Rangers	6:1

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