Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 33

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday


	Stafford Rangers		Guiseley

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.8	1.68
	4.2	3.75	1.68
	3.89	4.06	1.75
	4	4	1.62
	4.16	3.8	1.69
	4.2	3.75	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↓ (4.22)	3.86 ↓ (3.97)	1.68 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stafford Rangers
22.5%

Draw
23.5%

Guiseley
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

22.9%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

22.6%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stafford Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Guiseley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stafford Rangers than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Stafford has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Guiseley is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Stafford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Guiseley is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Stafford won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Stafford won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stafford Rangers
English NPL Premier Division
17.02.24	Hyde United - Stafford Rangers	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Stafford Rangers - Ilkeston	0:2 ✺
20.01.24	Stafford Rangers - Worksop Town	0:2 ✺
13.01.24	Marine - Stafford Rangers	4:0 ✺
06.01.24	Stafford Rangers - Basford United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLLLL
- Guiseley
English NPL Premier Division
17.02.24	Guiseley - Morpeth Town	4:1 ✺
10.02.24	Ashton United - Guiseley	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Radcliffe - Guiseley	3:4 ✺
27.01.24	Guiseley - Macclesfield Town	1:2 ✺
13.01.24	Guiseley - Bamber Bridge	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
14.10.23	Guiseley - Stafford Rangers	2:0
11.02.23	Guiseley - Stafford Rangers	4:0
22.10.22	Stafford Rangers - Guiseley	1:1

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