Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 29

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday


	Stafford Rangers		Ilkeston

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.5	2.15
	2.8	3.5	2.2
	2.8	3.68	2.26
	2.79	3.44	2.24
	2.8	3.5	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (2.81)	3.52 ↓ (3.75)	2.21 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stafford Rangers
32.9%

Draw
25.9%

Ilkeston
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

24.1%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

23.7%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stafford Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Ilkeston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stafford Rangers than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stafford won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Stafford won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Stafford won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stafford Rangers
English NPL Premier Division
20.01.24	Stafford Rangers - Worksop Town	0:2 ✺
13.01.24	Marine - Stafford Rangers	4:0 ✺
06.01.24	Stafford Rangers - Basford United	0:1 ✺
30.12.23	Matlock Town - Stafford Rangers	1:3 ✺
26.12.23	Stafford Rangers - Gainsborough Trinity	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLLWW
- Ilkeston FC
English NPL Premier Division
20.01.24	Ilkeston - Basford United	4:1 ✺
13.01.24	Worksop Town - Ilkeston	1:2 ✺
06.01.24	Ilkeston - United of Manchester	2:0 ✺
01.01.24	Whitby Town - Ilkeston	3:0 ✺
26.12.23	Ilkeston - Matlock Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
25.11.23	Ilkeston - Stafford Rangers	3:1
14.03.17	Ilkeston - Stafford Rangers	1:2
07.01.17	Stafford Rangers - Ilkeston	2:1
16.11.13	Ilkeston - Stafford Rangers	0:0
31.08.13	Stafford Rangers - Ilkeston	2:2

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