Match Info

Date: 30 October 2021, Saturday


	Stal Brzeg		Piast Żmigród

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.6	3.4
	1.8	3.75	3.5
	1.78	3.7	3.6
	1.87	3.86	3.69
	1.75	3.8	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.02)	3.74 ↑ (3.6)	3.58 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Brzeg
50.4%

Draw
24.3%

Piast Żmigród
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

25.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

17%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Brzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stal Brzeg's performance.

Piast Żmigród has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Brzeg than the current prediction. (-20.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stal Brzeg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piast Żmigród than the current prediction. (+18.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Piast Żmigród could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stal Brzeg - Piast Żmigród Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 14).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Stal Brzeg will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Stal Brzeg won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Stal Brzeg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stal Brzeg
Polish Division 3 - Group III
23.10.21	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Stal Brzeg	0:1 ✺
16.10.21	Stal Brzeg - Górnik 2 Zabrze	0:1 ✺
09.10.21	Carina Gubin - Stal Brzeg	1:0 ✺
02.10.21	Stal Brzeg - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	0:1 ✺
25.09.21	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Stal Brzeg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLLW
- Piast Żmigród
Polish Division 3 - Group III
23.10.21	Piast Żmigród - Foto-Higiena Błyskawica Gać	4:1 ✺
16.10.21	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Piast Żmigród	0:1 ✺
09.10.21	Piast Żmigród - Ślęza Wrocław	0:6 ✺
03.10.21	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Piast Żmigród	2:1 ✺
25.09.21	Piast Żmigród - Kluczbork	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
03.06.21	Piast Żmigród - Stal Brzeg	0:1
18.11.20	Stal Brzeg - Piast Żmigród	1:4
10.08.19	Piast Żmigród - Stal Brzeg	0:0
25.05.19	Stal Brzeg - Piast Żmigród	0:2
03.11.18	Piast Żmigród - Stal Brzeg	0:3
09.06.18	Stal Brzeg - Piast Żmigród	1:1
11.11.17	Piast Żmigród - Stal Brzeg	2:1

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