Match Info

Division 1 - Round 4

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu (Mielec)

Referee: Wajda T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Stal Mielec		Górnik Łęczna

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.5	3.75
	1.85	3.6	3.6
	1.85	3.65	3.7	Watch
	1.87	3.88	3.81
	1.99	3.49	3.57	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.5
	1.85	3.68	3.7
	2.25	3.2	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.57)	3.54 ↑ (3.25)	3.6 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Mielec
48.2%

Draw
26.1%

Górnik Łęczna
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

28.7%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stal Mielec's performance.

Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Górnik Łęczna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Stal Mielec - Górnik Łęczna Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matys M. (G) 21. Kwiatkowski P. 18. Wlazlo P. 17. Mazurek D. 27. Diez A. 6. Pisek J. 33. Bukowski A. 20. Szeliga B. 10. Domanski M. (C) 32. Gerbowski F. 9. Losada M.	1. Pindroch B. (G) 21. Bednarczyk J. 6. David Abbott G. 74. Kruk K. 23. Ogaga D. 11. Tkacz D. 88. Osipiuk O. 95. Janaszek F. 8. Kryeziu E. (C) 18. Spiaczka B. 17. Spacil B.
Substitutes
13. Jalocha K. (G) 22. Kavcic M. 3. Kowalik P. 8. Niedzwiedz N. 77. Sadlocha K. 15. Senger M. 23. Sommerfeld K. 16. Szady M. 19. Yanchuk M.	30. Akhmedov B. 99. Bojanczyk K. 73. Doba S. 15. Krawczyk S. 13. Kroczek D. 20. Malamis P. 12. Olszak D. (G) 86. Rafa Santos 7. Traore S.
Coaches
Djurdjevic I.	Stolarczyk M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Janaszek F. ⚽, Spacil B. (A),
41', Spacil B. 🟨,
45+2', Ogaga D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Matys M. 🟨,
55', Kryeziu E. (Pen),
59', Mazurek D. ↓, Kavcic M. ↑,
59', Kruk K. 🟨,
63', Spacil B. ↓, Rafa Santos ↑,
63', Kruk K. ↓, Traore S. ↑,
64', Pindroch B. 🟨,
66', Gerbowski F. ↓, Sadlocha K. ↑,
75', Diez A. ↓, Senger M. ↑,
75', Kwiatkowski P. ↓, Kowalik P. ↑,
75', Bukowski A. ↓, Niedzwiedz N. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Losada M. ⚽, Kavcic M. (A),
78', Tkacz D. ↓, Bojanczyk K. ↑,
90+6', Janaszek F. ↓, Doba S. ↑,

Preview

Stal Mielec is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Górnik Łęczna has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Stal Mielec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Stal Mielec has had a series of home games.

Stal Mielec will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Stal Mielec - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.32%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stal Mielec
Polish Division 1
02.08.25	Stal Mielec - Polonia Warsaw	1:3 ✺
25.07.25	Znicz Pruszków - Stal Mielec	4:5 ✺
20.07.25	Stal Mielec - Wisła Kraków	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
05.07.25	Stal Mielec - ŁKS Łódź	0:0 ✺
02.07.25	Stal Mielec - Podbrezová	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWLTL
- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 1
03.08.25	Górnik Łęczna - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:2 ✺
27.07.25	Ruch Chorzów - Górnik Łęczna	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Górnik Łęczna - Polonia Bytom	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
02.07.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Łęczna	2:0 ✺
21.06.25	Piast Gliwice - Górnik Łęczna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
26.02.22	Górnik Łęczna - Stal Mielec	2:0
27.08.21	Stal Mielec - Górnik Łęczna	2:0
Polish Division 1
09.03.18	Stal Mielec - Górnik Łęczna	1:0
18.08.17	Górnik Łęczna - Stal Mielec	3:4
Club Friendly
03.07.16	Stal Mielec - Górnik Łęczna	1:2

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