Match Info

Division 1 - Round 3

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu (Mielec)

Referee: Sulikowski D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app


	Stal Mielec		Polonia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.5	2.25
	2.5	3.4	2.45
	2.55	3.45	2.45	Watch
	2.74	3.79	2.37
	7.10	4.15	1.45	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.5
	2.5	3.45	2.5
	2.5	3.2	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.91)	3.53 ↑ (3.05)	2.3 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Mielec
30.7%

Draw
27.3%

Polonia Warsaw
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

29.3%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Stal Mielec have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Stal Mielec - Polonia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Polonia will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Polonia (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Polonia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Jalocha K. (G) 3. Kowalik P. 33. Bukowski A. 15. Senger M. 20. Szeliga B. 18. Wlazlo P. 6. Pisek J. 27. Diez A. 77. Sadlocha K. 9. Losada M. 10. Domanski M. (C)	96. Kuchta M. (C) 22. Olszewski P. 3. Salihu H. 2. Grudniewski M. 5. Hoxhallari E. 16. Poczobut B. 17. Dadok R. 8. Wojciechowski O. 26. Gnaase D. 99. Durmus I. 9. Zjawinski L.
Substitutes
32. Gerbowski F. 22. Kavcic M. 21. Kwiatkowski P. 1. Matys M. (G) 17. Mazurek D. 8. Niedzwiedz N. 23. Sommerfeld K. 16. Szady M. 19. Yanchuk M.	10. Bajdur M. 30. Cisse S. 21. Kapusta A. 11. Mlynski M. 44. Piotrowski B. 1. Sandach A. (G) 90. Spiewak K. 19. Vasin N. 7. Vega D.
Coaches
Djurdjevic I.	Pawlak M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
34', 0 - 1, Durmus I. ⚽, Dadok R. (A),
43', 0 - 2, Zjawinski L. ⚽, Kuchta M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Senger M. ↓, Kavcic M. ↑,
56', 0 - 3, Zjawinski L. ⚽, Wojciechowski O. (A),
58', Sadlocha K. ↓, Gerbowski F. ↑,
62', Dadok R. ↓, Vega D. ↑,
62', Wojciechowski O. ↓, Vasin N. ↑,
65', Szeliga B. ↓, Kwiatkowski P. ↑,
74', Durmus I. ↓, Mlynski M. ↑,
74', Zjawinski L. ↓, Spiewak K. ↑,
75', Bukowski A. ↓, Niedzwiedz N. ↑,
82', Gnaase D. 🟨,
83', Durmus I. 🟨,
84', Wlazlo P. 🟨,
86', Niedzwiedz N. 🟨,
87', Gnaase D. ↓, Bajdur M. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 3, Wlazlo P. (Pen),

Preview

Stal Mielec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stal Mielec
Polish Division 1
25.07.25	Znicz Pruszków - Stal Mielec	4:5 ✺
20.07.25	Stal Mielec - Wisła Kraków	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
05.07.25	Stal Mielec - ŁKS Łódź	0:0 ✺
02.07.25	Stal Mielec - Podbrezová	1:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.05.25	Legia Warsaw - Stal Mielec	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WLTLT
- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 1
27.07.25	Polonia Warsaw - GKS Tychy	1:2 ✺
20.07.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.06.25	Korona Kielce - Polonia Warsaw	0:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
29.05.25	Wisła Płock - Polonia Warsaw	2:1 ✺
25.05.25	Ruch Chorzów - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTTLT

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