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Current Win Probability
Stal Mielec 41.2%
Draw 26.3%
Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała 32.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.5%
27.8%
32.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.7%
28.7%
31.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
Stal Mielec - Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biała Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Podbeskidzie will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Gostomski M. (G) 2. Kukulowicz B. 94. Kwiecien B. 44. Puerto I. 23. Getinger K. (C) 90. Kruszelnicki P. 32. Gerbowski F. 18. Wlazlo P. 19. Gmur T. 7. Cebula M. 11. Odolak K.
1. Forenc K. (C) 2. Sochan K. 4. Biernat M. 22. Gach K. 21. Kolanko K. 8. Takac D. 14. Urynowicz M. 26. Sewerzynski O. 7. Sitek M. 37. Tomczyk O. 90. Klisiewicz L.
Substitutes
41. Chrapusta P. (G) 10. Domanski M. 14. Koscielny K. 30. Malek J. 8. Niedzwiedz N. 47. Oure S. 6. Sommerfeld K. 16. Szady N. 38. Wyparlo M.
99. Branczyk S. (G) 11. Hirosawa T. 6. Iwanczyk A. 3. Kasperkiewicz A. 84. Martosz B. 10. Pietraszkiewicz D. 9. Shikavka Y. 98. Slomka W. 61. Smolinski K.
Coaches
Skiba D.
Wlodarski M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Gmur T. ⚽, Wlazlo P. (A),
9', 2 - 0, Kruszelnicki P. ⚽, Cebula M. (A),
20', 3 - 0, Getinger K. ⚽, Wlazlo P. (A),
22', Tomczyk O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Gach K. ↓, Kasperkiewicz A. ↑,
46', Takac D. ↓, Slomka W. ↑,
46', Sitek M. ↓, Pietraszkiewicz D. ↑,
49', Getinger K. 🟨,
56', 3 - 1, Kasperkiewicz A. ⚽, Slomka W. (A),
60', Cebula M. ↓, Domanski M. ↑,
62', 3 - 2, Urynowicz M. ⚽,
64', Puerto I. 🟨,
65', 3 - 3, Biernat M. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Domanski M. 🟨,
68', Kruszelnicki P. ↓, Oure S. ↑,
68', Gmur T. ↓, Niedzwiedz N. ↑,
73', Kolanko K. ↓, Martosz B. ↑,
83', Gerbowski F. ↓, Koscielny K. ↑,
83', Odolak K. ↓, Sommerfeld K. ↑,
86', Klisiewicz L. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 3.
Stal Mielec is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Podbeskidzie is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Stal Mielec has had a series of home games.
Recently, Podbeskidzie has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Podbeskidzie
12
2
8
2
15:16
-1
14
15
Stal Mielec
12
3
4
5
16:27
-11
13
Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now
Stal Mielec: 0.4% Podbeskidzie: 0.4%
Last Results with these Odds
Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 32.69%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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Gostomski M. (G) 
Puerto I. 
Takac D. 
Oure S. 
Hirosawa T. 
Shikavka Y. 
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