Match Info

Date: 30 August 2022, Tuesday


	Stal Stalowa Wola		Puszcza Niepołomice

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.5	1.42
	5.6	4.5	1.44
	5.6	4.5	1.43
	5	4.4	1.44
	5.8	4.5	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.5 ↓ (6.2)	4.48 ↑ (4.32)	1.43 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Stalowa Wola
16.5%

Draw
20.2%

Puszcza Niepołomice
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

21%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.6%

26.4%

81.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Stalowa Wola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Puszcza Niepołomice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Stal Stalowa Wola - Puszcza Niepołomice Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Stal Stalowa Wola will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Puszcza will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Puszcza: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stal Stalowa Wola won 3.

Stal Stalowa Wola is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Puszcza is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stal Stalowa Wola could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Puszcza is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Stal Stalowa Wola won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Stal Stalowa Wola won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
27.08.22	Wieczysta Kraków - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:1 ✺
20.08.22	Stal Stalowa Wola - Chełmianka Chełm	2:0 ✺
17.08.22	Unia Tarnów - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:2 ✺
13.08.22	Stal Stalowa Wola - Wiązownica	3:0 ✺
06.08.22	Cracovia 2 - Stal Stalowa Wola	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWWWL
- Puszcza Niepołomice
Polish Division 1
26.08.22	Puszcza Niepołomice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0 ✺
20.08.22	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:1 ✺
15.08.22	Puszcza Niepołomice - Termalica Nieciecza	0:0 ✺
10.08.22	ŁKS Łódź - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0 ✺
07.08.22	Puszcza Niepołomice - Chojniczanka Chojnice	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.01.19	Stal Stalowa Wola - Puszcza Niepołomice	4:1
Polish Division 2
11.03.17	Puszcza Niepołomice - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:1
20.08.16	Stal Stalowa Wola - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:0
17.04.16	Puszcza Niepołomice - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:0
19.09.15	Stal Stalowa Wola - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:0
16.05.15	Puszcza Niepołomice - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:1
18.10.14	Stal Stalowa Wola - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0

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