Match Info

Division 2 - Round 27

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Stali Stalowa Wola (Stalowa Wola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Stal Stalowa Wola		Warta Poznań

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.25	2.72	Watch
	2.39	3.46	2.78
	2.27	3.51	2.91	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.3	3.3	2.76	Watch
	2.39	3.12	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.39)	3.29 ↑ (3.12)	2.74 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Stalowa Wola
39.2%

Draw
27.6%

Warta Poznań
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

28.4%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

28.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Stalowa Wola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Stal Stalowa Wola - Warta Poznań Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Smylek M. (C) 23. Getinger K. 21. Jaroszewski M. 87. Morawiec K. 55. Oko D. 7. Radecki M. 90. Spiewak K. 18. Surzyn M. 17. Tomalski H. 11. Zaucha P. 6. Zemlo P.	42. Przybylak L. (G) 24. Avdeev D. 16. Kornobis I. 8. Kumoch K. (C) 23. Kusztal P. 15. Kwiatkowski P. 71. Steblecki S. 17. Stefaniak M. 19. Szymanek K. 7. Walus F. 4. Wojcinowicz T.
Substitutes
43. Fedejko I. 10. Hebel M. 77. Kendzia J. 2. Kukulowicz B. 16. Lelek K. 20. Niedbala J. 30. Sobeczko J. 53. Stepak J. (G) 19. Wolny D.	20. Dziedzic K. 35. Jakubowski F. 1. Kosiorek J. (G) 3. Michalski S. 29. Rychert K. 99. Smoczynski M. 9. Stanek M. 11. Tonder F. 21. Zylla M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', 🟨,
17', Spiewak K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Surzyn M. ↓, Hebel M. ↑,
58', Steblecki S. ↓, Dziedzic K. ↑,
58', Kusztal P. ↓, Smoczynski M. ↑,
59', 0 - 1, Walus F. ⚽,
66', Szymanek K. ↓, Zylla M. ↑,
70', Morawiec K. ↓, Kendzia J. ↑,
70', Tomalski H. ↓, Wolny D. ↑,
77', Zaucha P. ↓, Sobeczko J. ↑,
77', Radecki M. ↓, Niedbala J. ↑,
83', Sobeczko J. 🟨,
89', Walus F. ↓, Tonder F. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Stalowa Wola won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Stal Stalowa Wola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Stal Stalowa Wola won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Stal Stalowa Wola won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	S. Wola	10	3	1	6	16:21	-5	10

Last Results with these Odds

Stal Stalowa Wola - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 37.04%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Warta Poznań - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 34.58%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Division 2
02.04.26	ŁKS Łódź II - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Stal Stalowa Wola - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Swit Skolwin - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	KKS Kalisz - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Stal Stalowa Wola - Śląsk Wrocław 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTTTL
- Warta Poznań
Polish Division 2
04.04.26	Sokół Kleczew - Warta Poznań	1:3 ✺
22.03.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Warta Poznań	2:2 ✺
18.03.26	Warta Poznań - Swit Skolwin	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Warta Poznań - GKS Jastrzębie	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Warta Poznań - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
26.09.25	Warta Poznań - Stal Stalowa Wola	3:1
Polish Division 1
24.02.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Warta Poznań	0:0
10.08.24	Warta Poznań - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:0
Polish Division 2
08.04.18	Warta Poznań - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:0
10.09.17	Stal Stalowa Wola - Warta Poznań	1:0
01.04.17	Stal Stalowa Wola - Warta Poznań	0:1
03.09.16	Warta Poznań - Stal Stalowa Wola	3:3

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