Match Info

Division 2 - Round 25

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Stali Stalowa Wola (Stalowa Wola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Stal Stalowa Wola		Sandecja Nowy Sącz

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.2	2.68	Watch
	2.57	3.3	2.61
	2.23	3.43	3.04	Watch
	2.6	3	2.45
	2.49	3.08	2.59	Watch
	2.07	3.35	3.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.33)	3.23 ↓ (3.28)	2.74 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Stalowa Wola
38.3%

Draw
28.3%

Sandecja Nowy Sącz
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

27%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

27.1%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Stalowa Wola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Sandecja Nowy Sącz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandecja Nowy Sącz than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Stal Stalowa Wola - Sandecja Nowy Sącz Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Stal Stalowa Wola will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sandecja will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stal Stalowa Wola (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Smylek M. (G) 4. Furtak L. 10. Hebel M. 8. Hrnciar L. 21. Jaroszewski M. 55. Oko D. 7. Radecki M. 30. Sobeczko J. 17. Tomalski H. 19. Wolny D. 11. Zaucha P.	1. Szymkowiak K. (G) 22. Kowalik P. 98. Ogorzaly K. 10. Pietraszkiewicz D. 25. Piszczek F. (C) 3. Plesnierowicz W. 74. Skalecki P. 16. Smajdor K. 11. Talar K. 8. Wolczek A. 6. Zurawski M.
Substitutes
23. Getinger K. 77. Kendzia J. 2. Kukulowicz B. 16. Lelek K. 87. Morawiec K. 90. Spiewak K. 53. Stepak J. (G) 18. Surzyn M. 6. Zemlo P.	29. Brenkus A. 94. Juszczyk B. 33. Kasprzak B. 19. Kolbon T. 20. Kosinski E. 99. Oure S. 91. Polacek M. (G) 24. Slaby K. 77. Zietek L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Zaucha P. 🟨,
28', Radecki M. 🟨,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,
90+10', 🟨,

Preview

Recent form of Stal Stalowa Wola has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sandecja is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sandecja may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Stal Stalowa Wola won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Stal Stalowa Wola won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	S. Wola	11	4	1	6	19:23	-4	13

Last Results with these Odds

Stal Stalowa Wola - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 38%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Division 2
21.03.26	Swit Skolwin - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	KKS Kalisz - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Stal Stalowa Wola - Śląsk Wrocław 2	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Unia Skierniewice - Stal Stalowa Wola	3:2 ✺
01.03.26	Stal Stalowa Wola - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTLLT
- Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Polish Division 2
21.03.26	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - ŁKS Łódź II	4:1 ✺
18.03.26	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Hutnik	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - GKS Jastrzębie	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
13.09.25	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:3
Club Friendly
28.01.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:0
Polish Division 2
28.03.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:1
16.09.23	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:0

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