Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 18

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday


	Stamford		Sudbury Town

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.2	2.48
	2.13	3.35	3.14
	2.57	3.63	2.47	Watch
	2.5	3	2.45
	2.53	3.26	2.43
	2.66	3.33	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.25)	3.3 ↓ (3.66)	2.56 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stamford
36.7%

Draw
27.7%

Sudbury Town
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

25.4%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

24.3%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stamford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Sudbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stamford than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stamford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sudbury Town than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Stamford - Sudbury Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stamford (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Lobjoit L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, Lewis M. ⚽,
51', 1 - 2, Page C. ⚽,
62', 2 - 2, Duffy J. ⚽,
74', 3 - 2, Lobjoit L. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Stamford is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Sudbury has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Stamford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sudbury has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stamford won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Stamford won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Stamford: 0.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
22	Stamford	9	0	0	9	1:25	-24	0

Last Results with these Odds

Stamford - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.25%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stamford AFC
English Southern League Central Division
17.01.26	Worcester City - Stamford	0:1 ✺
13.01.26	Harborough Town - Stamford	2:0 ✺
27.12.25	Spalding United - Stamford	3:0 ✺
15.12.25	Redditch United - Stamford	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Stamford - Royston Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLLLW
- Sudbury Town
English Southern League Central Division
17.01.26	Sudbury Town - Harborough Town	1:3 ✺
13.01.26	Sudbury Town - Real Bedford	1:3 ✺
10.01.26	Sudbury Town - Bishops Stortford	0:2 ✺
27.12.25	Sudbury Town - Bury Town	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Redditch United - Sudbury Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
25.01.25	Stamford - Sudbury Town	1:0
14.09.24	Sudbury Town - Stamford	3:0
10.02.24	Stamford - Sudbury Town	2:2
30.09.23	Sudbury Town - Stamford	1:2
English FA Cup
22.09.20	Stamford - Sudbury Town	4:0

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