Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 24

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday


	Sudbury Town		Bury Town

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.25	2.48
	2.5	3.6	2.55	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.5
	2.42	3.38	2.48
	2.45	3.4	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.45)	3.37 ↓ (3.55)	2.52 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sudbury Town
36.9%

Draw
27%

Bury Town
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

25.4%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

24.7%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Sudbury Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Bury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sudbury Town than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bury Town than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Sudbury Town - Bury Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sudbury (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, McGrath J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+8', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Sudbury is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bury Town has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sudbury won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Sudbury won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Sudbury Town - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.87%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sudbury Town
English Southern League Central Division
20.12.25	Redditch United - Sudbury Town	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Sudbury Town - Halesowen Town	5:5 ✺
06.12.25	Stourbridge - Sudbury Town	2:3 ✺
29.11.25	Sudbury Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:2 ✺
25.11.25	Royston Town - Sudbury Town	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 WTWTT
- Bury Town
English Southern League Central Division
20.12.25	Bury Town - Stourbridge	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Kettering Town - Bury Town	3:3 ✺
06.12.25	Bury Town - Barwell	4:0 ✺
29.11.25	Bury Town - Stratford Town	1:2 ✺
25.11.25	Spalding United - Bury Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Sudbury Town - Bury Town	4:0
English Southern League Central Division
25.08.25	Bury Town - Sudbury Town	1:0
Club Friendly
15.07.16	Bury Town - Sudbury Town	1:3

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