The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Standard Liège 43.1%
Draw 26.6%
Lech Poznań 30.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
26.6%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.7%
18.9%
50.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Standard Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Standard Liège's performance.
Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lech Poznań might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (-16.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Standard Liège that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+20.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lech Poznań could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
51.3%
15.8%
32.9%
Standard Liège - Lech Poznań Predictions
Users Predictions:
76 users predict this event. Standard will win (votes: 39 - 51.3%). Lech will win (votes: 25 - 32.9%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 15.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Standard: 40.1% – 62.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Limited number of spectators.
Standard has a very small chance of round of 32 (<1%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Lech has a small chance of round of 32 (7%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (2%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Standard won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.