Match Info

Date: 1 October 2020, Thursday


	Standard Liège		Videoton

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.6	6	Watch
	1.57	3.6	5.5
	1.57	3.8	6.2	Watch
	1.57	3.75	5.6
	1.57	3.8	6.59
	1.52	3.5	6.5	Watch
	1.58	3.94	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.48)	3.71 ↓ (4.02)	6.03 ↓ (6.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Standard Liège
59.6%

Draw
25%

Videoton
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

23.1%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

13.3%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Standard Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Videoton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (-23.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Standard Liège that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Videoton than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Videoton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.1%	9.3%	16.7%

Standard Liège - Videoton Predictions

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Standard will win (votes: 40 - 74.1%). Videoton will win (votes: 9 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 9.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Standard: 62.4% – 85.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

Standard is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fehérvár is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Fehérvár could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Standard have a series of home games.

In this match Standard is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Standard Liège
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.09.20	Standard Liège - Zulte Waregem	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.20	Standard Liège - Vojvodina	2:1 ET ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
20.09.20	Standard Liège - Kortrijk	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.20	Standard Liège - Bala Town	2:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
12.09.20	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWWWL
- Videoton FC
UEFA Europa League
24.09.20	Videoton - Reims	1:0 penalties ✺
17.09.20	Paola Hibernians - Videoton	0:1 ✺
Hungarian NB I
12.09.20	Videoton - Puskás Academy	3:1 ✺
30.08.20	Budafoki - Videoton	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.20	Videoton - Bohemians Dublin	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWWW

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