Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 8

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Maurice Dufrasnestadion (Liège)

Referee: Bourdeaud'hui S. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza
Bolivia	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Standard Liège		Charleroi

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.3	2.4	Watch
	2.80	3.50	2.40
	2.78	3.35	2.45	Watch
	2.89	3.49	2.52
	2.81	3.41	2.47	Watch
	2.8	3.35	2.45
	2.91	3.57	2.36	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (2.91)	3.42 ↑ (3.41)	2.44 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Standard Liège
33.7%

Draw
27.6%

Charleroi
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

27.7%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

27.6%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Standard Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Charleroi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Standard Liège - Charleroi Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Standard will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Charleroi will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Epolo M. (G) 13. Fossey M. (C) 20. Karamoko I. 25. Hautekiet I. 3. Mortensen G. 94. Nielsen C. 22. Trouillet A. 84. Touzghar R. 17. Nguene B. 10. Eckert D. 11. Abid A.	30. Kone M. (G) 3. Van Den Kerkhof K. 95. Keita C. 4. Ousou A. (C) 24. Nzita M. 6. Boukamir A. 18. Khalifi Y. 14. Pflucke P. 8. Romsaas J. 20. Mbemba F. 21. Scheidler A.
Substitutes
29. Dierckx D. 15. Drammeh S. 80. Fosso R. 23. Ilaimaharitra M. 18. Lawrence H. 7. Mohr T. 77. Nsimba B. 21. Pirard L. (G) 9. Zeqiri A.	9. Bojang A. 19. Cisse I. 25. Colassin A. 1. Delavallee M. (G) 65. Kera M. 13. Nawata G. 2. Rowe T. 33. Solheid N. 44. Sow M.
Coaches
Euvrard V.	Kohnen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Hautekiet I. 🟨,
45', Boukamir A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 0 - 1, Keita C. ⚽, Pflucke P. (A),
65', Nguene B. ↓, Drammeh S. ↑,
65', Nielsen C. ↓, Zeqiri A. ↑,
71', Pflucke P. ↓, Rowe T. ↑,
77', Boukamir A. ↓, Cisse I. ↑,
77', Mbemba F. ↓, Nawata G. ↑,
77', Eckert D. ↓, Nsimba B. ↑,
84', Touzghar R. ↓, Fosso R. ↑,
84', Trouillet A. ↓, Ilaimaharitra M. ↑,
86', Romsaas J. ↓, Sow M. ↑,
90+6', Mortensen G. 🟥,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 7th and 4th in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Standard won 2.

In recent outings, Standard has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Charleroi is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Standard: El Hankouri M. (Muscle Injury) Homawoo J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mortensen G. (Calf Injury).

Confirmed absences for Charleroi: Bernier A. (Foot Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Standard: Lavalee D. (Knee Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Standard has recorded 8 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:21 (averaging 1:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Standard against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 12:12 goals (averaging 1.2:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Charleroi	8	7	0	1	16:7	9	21
8	St. Liege	8	3	2	3	13:13	0	11

Last Results with these Odds

Charleroi - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 39.85%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Standard Liège
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.09.26	Gent - Standard Liège	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Westerlo - Standard Liège	4:2 ✺
05.09.26	Standard Liège - Royal Antwerp	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège	1:2 ✺
21.08.26	Standard Liège - RAAL La Louvière	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLWWW
- SC Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
19.09.26	Charleroi - Cercle Brugge	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Zulte Waregem - Charleroi	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Charleroi - Saint-Gilloise	2:3 ✺
29.08.26	Kortrijk - Charleroi	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Charleroi - KV Mechelen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
23.05.26	Standard Liège - Charleroi	0:2
18.04.26	Charleroi - Standard Liège	1:2
18.01.26	Charleroi - Standard Liège	2:0
31.10.25	Standard Liège - Charleroi	3:1
04.05.25	Standard Liège - Charleroi	0:1
06.04.25	Charleroi - Standard Liège	1:0
30.11.24	Charleroi - Standard Liège	1:1

Standard Liège - Charleroi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide