Match Info

National Division 1 - ACFF - Round 8

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Cite de l’Oie (Visé)


	Standard Liège U23		Excelsior Virton

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.45	1.92
	3.34	3.59	2.02
	2.91	3.65	2.16	Watch
	3.29	4	1.9
	2.8	4.1	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.8)	3.76 ↓ (4.1)	2.01 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Standard Liège U23
29.5%

Draw
24.6%

Excelsior Virton
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

22.4%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

22.4%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Standard Liège U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Excelsior Virton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Standard Liège U23 than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (-1%)

Standard Liège U23 - Excelsior Virton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 1 - 2, ⚽,
78', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 in the zone National Division 1 ~ ACFF (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone National Division 1 ~ ACFF (Relegation Group: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Standard U23 won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Virton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Virton might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Standard U23 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Standard U23 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Standard Liège U23
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
04.10.25	Tubize - Standard Liège U23	4:0 ✺
28.09.25	Standard Liège U23 - Royale Union SG 2	4:2 ✺
21.09.25	Habay-la-Neuve - Standard Liège U23	3:3 ✺
13.09.25	Mons - Standard Liège U23	5:1 ✺
07.09.25	Standard Liège U23 - Stockay-Warfusée	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWTLT
- Excelsior Virton
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
04.10.25	Excelsior Virton - Royale Union SG 2	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Excelsior Virton - Union Rochefortoise	2:2 ✺
21.09.25	Charleroi B - Excelsior Virton	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Stockay-Warfusée - Excelsior Virton	2:2 ✺
10.09.25	Excelsior Virton - Crossing Schaerbeek	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
01.02.25	Excelsior Virton - Standard Liège U23	3:1
28.08.24	Standard Liège U23 - Excelsior Virton	1:2
Belgian Challenger Pro League
05.05.23	Standard Liège U23 - Excelsior Virton	1:1
11.03.23	Excelsior Virton - Standard Liège U23	1:0
18.11.22	Excelsior Virton - Standard Liège U23	0:2
21.10.22	Standard Liège U23 - Excelsior Virton	2:1

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