Match Info

BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Round 5

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Maurice Dufrasnestadion (Liège)

Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
Netherlands	Sporza
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Standard Liège		Beerschot Wilrijk

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	4	Watch
	1.85	3.6	4.2
	1.83	3.6	4.2	Watch
	1.86	3.67	4.34
	1.87	3.66	4.12
	1.75	3.8	4.2
	1.84	3.73	4.23	Watch
	1.83	3.6	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.73)	3.63 ↓ (3.93)	4.19 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Standard Liège
51.5%

Draw
25.9%

Beerschot Wilrijk
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

24.3%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

23.8%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Standard Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Beerschot Wilrijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beerschot Wilrijk than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Standard Liège - Beerschot Wilrijk Predictions

Users Predictions: Standard Liège will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Epolo M. (G) 4. Sutalo B. 44. Bates D. 25. Hautekiet I. 13. Fossey M. 24. O'Neill A. (C) 7. Bulat M. 17. Camara I. 8. Price I. 32. Kuavita L. 21. Benjdida S.	71. Matijas D. (G) 4. Plat B. 3. Matthys H. 26. Tshimanga D. 75. Michez S. 18. Sanusi R. (C) 47. Cagro W. 28. Weymans M. 8. Henderson E. 10. Verlinden T. 27. Keita C.
Substitutes
6. Alexandropoulos S. 29. Dierckx D. 10. Djukanovic V. 55. Ghalidi B. 45. Godfroid M. (G) 11. Kyei G. 51. Noubi L. 33. Sahabo H. 23. Tapsoba A.	30. Huiberts D. 9. Kosiah A. 42. Martha A. 7. Reyners T. 33. Shinton N. (G) 6. Thiam C. 66. Tolis 22. Vargas O. 32. Wright-Phillips D.
Coaches
Leko I.	Kuyt D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Hautekiet I. ↓, Noubi L. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tshimanga D. ↓, Tolis ↑,
60', Plat B. 🟥,
63', Kuavita L. ↓, Kyei G. ↑,
67', Weymans M. ↓, Kosiah A. ↑,
68', Keita C. ↓, Martha A. ↑,
69', Michez S. 🟨,
72', 1 - 0, Benjdida S. (Pen),
78', Cagro W. 🟨,
80', Henderson E. ↓, Huiberts D. ↑,
80', Cagro W. ↓, Wright-Phillips D. ↑,
84', Bulat M. ↓, Alexandropoulos S. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).

Recent matches Standard is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Beerschot Wilrijk is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Standard could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Standard is a favorite.

There will not play in Standard: Doumbia S. (Muscle Injury) Henkinet L. (Knee Injury) Lawrence H. (Red Card) Sahabo H. (Knee Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Standard won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Standard won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Standard Liège
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.08.24	Kortrijk - Standard Liège	1:0 ✺
09.08.24	Standard Liège - KV Mechelen	0:0 ✺
04.08.24	Standard Liège - Club Brugge	1:0 ✺
28.07.24	Genk - Standard Liège	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.07.24	Standard Liège - Norwich City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LTWTT
- FCO Beerschot Wilrijk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.08.24	Beerschot Wilrijk - Genk	3:4 ✺
11.08.24	Cercle Brugge - Beerschot Wilrijk	4:1 ✺
02.08.24	Saint-Gilloise - Beerschot Wilrijk	3:1 ✺
27.07.24	Beerschot Wilrijk - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.24	Beerschot Wilrijk - OFI	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
02.03.22	Standard Liège - Beerschot Wilrijk	1:0
Belgian Cup
02.12.21	Standard Liège - Beerschot Wilrijk	2:0 ET
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
15.08.21	Beerschot Wilrijk - Standard Liège	0:1
18.04.21	Standard Liège - Beerschot Wilrijk	3:0
30.08.20	Beerschot Wilrijk - Standard Liège	0:3

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