Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 6

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday


	Star Starachowice		Wisła II Kraków

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.9	3.8
	1.68	3.9	3.9
	1.76	3.68	3.74
	1.41	4.89	5.83	Watch
	1.67	3.92	4.11	Watch
	1.65	3.95	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.57)	4.04 ↓ (4.18)	4.21 ↓ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Star Starachowice
55.7%

Draw
22.6%

Wisła II Kraków
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

21.8%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

20.7%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Star Starachowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Wisła II Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Star Starachowice than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Star Starachowice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła II Kraków than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Star Starachowice - Wisła II Kraków Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', Szynka A. (Pen),
27', 0 - 1, Staszak W. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Stanislawski S. (Pen),
37', 2 - 1, Stanislawski S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 3 - 1, Stanislawski S. ⚽,
60', 4 - 1, Szynka A. ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 8).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Star Starachowice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Star Starachowice is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Star Starachowice won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 1:3.5).

Including home match between the teams, Star Starachowice won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Star Starachowice
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
27.08.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Star Starachowice	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Star Starachowice - Świdniczanka Świdnik	2:2 ✺
15.08.25	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Star Starachowice	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Star Starachowice - Cracovia 2	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Stal Kraśnik - Star Starachowice	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTLWL
- Wisła II Kraków
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
27.08.25	Wisła II Kraków - Avia Świdnik	2:3 ✺
22.08.25	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Wisła II Kraków	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Wisła II Kraków - Chełmianka Chełm	2:4 ✺
09.08.25	Wisła II Kraków - Stal Kraśnik	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Wisła II Kraków	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
18.04.25	Star Starachowice - Wisła II Kraków	1:4
21.09.24	Wisła II Kraków - Star Starachowice	3:1

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