Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group IV - Round 12

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday


	Star Starachowice		Wiązownica

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.5	8
	1.04	9.2	30
	1.24	5.76	8
	1.27	5.45	7.75	Watch
	1.04	9.2	30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.31)	7.02 ↑ (5)	16.75 ↑ (7.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Star Starachowice
80.9%

Draw
13.5%

Wiązownica
5.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

18.2%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.9%

17.1%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Star Starachowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Star Starachowice's performance.

Wiązownica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wiązownica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Star Starachowice than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Star Starachowice that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wiązownica than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wiązownica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Star Starachowice - Wiązownica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 0 - 1, ⚽,
87', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Star Starachowice
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
05.10.24	Lewart Lubartów - Star Starachowice	0:6 ✺
28.09.24	Star Starachowice - Czarni Połaniec	4:1 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Star Starachowice	4:1 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
21.09.24	Wisła II Kraków - Star Starachowice	3:1 ✺
14.09.24	Star Starachowice - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLW
- KS Wiązownica
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
04.10.24	Wiązownica - Wiślanie Skawina	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Wiązownica	1:1 ✺
20.09.24	Wiązownica - Unia Tarnów	3:3 ✺
14.09.24	Chełmianka Chełm - Wiązownica	3:0
31.08.24	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Wiązownica	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
03.05.24	Star Starachowice - Wiązownica	1:0
06.10.23	Wiązownica - Star Starachowice	0:1

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