Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group II - Round 31

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday


	Starogard Gdański		Luzino

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.9	1.58
	4.71	4.03	1.61	Watch
	3.66	4.7	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↑ (3.05)	4.21 ↑ (3.9)	1.58 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Starogard Gdański
21.3%

Draw
21.5%

Luzino
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

23.1%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

22.8%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Starogard Gdański has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Starogard Gdański's form might have worsened.

Luzino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luzino's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Starogard Gdański than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Starogard Gdański, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luzino than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luzino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Starogard Gdański - Luzino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Wojda D. ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, Wojda D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
61', 0 - 3, Zalow R. (Pen),
70', 1 - 3, ⚽,
80', 1 - 4, Krefft J. ⚽,
90', 1 - 5, Skurat S. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Starogard Gdański is Relegated to

Starogard Gdański has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Luzino is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Starogard Gdański could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Luzino is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Starogard Gdański won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KP Starogard Gdański
Polish Division 3 - Group II
15.05.24	Noteć Czarnków - Starogard Gdański	3:1 ✺
11.05.24	Starogard Gdański - Gedania Gdańsk	1:3 ✺
04.05.24	Swit Skolwin - Starogard Gdański	3:1 ✺
27.04.24	Starogard Gdański - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:4 ✺
20.04.24	Vineta Wolin - Starogard Gdański	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLLLT
- KTS-K Luzino
Polish Division 3 - Group II
15.05.24	Luzino - Pogoń Szczecin II	0:0 ✺
10.05.24	Cartusia Kartuzy - Luzino	0:0 ✺
01.05.24	Luzino - Unia Swarzędz	1:2 ✺
27.04.24	Flota Świnoujście - Luzino	1:4 ✺
20.04.24	Luzino - Unia Solec Kujawski	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.10.23	Luzino - Starogard Gdański	3:0

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