Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 33

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Starowice Dolne		Carina Gubin

	1	X	2
	4.05	3.7	1.68
	3.98	3.84	1.63
	4.17	3.79	1.7	Watch
	4	3.5	1.67
	4.37	3.88	1.63	Watch
	3.65	3.79	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (3.65)	3.75 ↓ (3.79)	1.67 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Starowice Dolne
22.2%

Draw
23.9%

Carina Gubin
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

23.4%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

22.8%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Starowice Dolne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Carina Gubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Starowice Dolne than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carina Gubin than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Starowice Dolne - Carina Gubin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Starowice is Relegated to

Starowice is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Carina Gubin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Starowice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Carina Gubin is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Starowice won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Starowice won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Carina Gubin	11	2	2	7	8:22	-14	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LZS Starowice Dolne
Polish Division 3 - Group III
16.05.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Starowice Dolne	5:1 ✺
13.05.26	Starowice Dolne - Sparta Katowice	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Starowice Dolne	5:0 ✺
01.05.26	Starowice Dolne - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	1:6 ✺
25.04.26	Skra Częstochowa - Starowice Dolne	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLLL
- Carina Gubin
Polish Division 3 - Group III
12.05.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Carina Gubin	1:4 ✺
09.05.26	Carina Gubin - Kluczbork	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Carina Gubin	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Carina Gubin - Polkowice	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Słowianin Wolibórz - Carina Gubin	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
08.11.25	Carina Gubin - Starowice Dolne	1:3
11.05.24	Starowice Dolne - Carina Gubin	2:1
14.10.23	Carina Gubin - Starowice Dolne	1:0

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