Match Info

AFRICA: CAF Confederation Cup - Round 4

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Danie Craven Stadium (Stellenbosch)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Variety 4
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
South-africa	SABC Plus, SABC Sport


	Stellenbosch		Lunda Sul

	1	X	2
	1.18	5.75	13	Watch
	1.17	6	13
	1.18	6	15	Watch
	1.18	5.85	14.3	Watch
	1.2	5.5	15
	1.19	6.2	12	Watch
	1.18	6	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.3)	5.9 ↑ (4.5)	13.9 ↑ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stellenbosch
77.8%

Draw
15.6%

Lunda Sul
6.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

20.2%

10.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.8%

19.4%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stellenbosch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stellenbosch's performance.

Lunda Sul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stellenbosch than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lunda Sul than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Stellenbosch - Lunda Sul Predictions

Users Predictions: Stellenbosch will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Stephens S. (C) 15. Butsaka C. 24. Moloisane T. 4. Toure O. 3. Mdaka O. 23. Adams J. 8. Nduli S. 34. Titus D. 18. De Jong A. 20. Barns S. 5. Lekoloane K.	1. Nayan (G) 2. Jose F. 14. Malungo Crespo A. M. 5. Junior Goiano (C) 26. Keta M. 30. Danilson 6. Platini 15. Magrinho 25. Cuca 27. Joca 20. Robson
Substitutes
39. Cupido A. 7. Godswill E. 27. Jabaar I. 6. Jurgens K. 11. Langelihle P. 30. Masuluke O. (G) 2. Onyango B. 28. Palace G.	22. Afonso B. (G) 3. Afonso J. 23. Cachimbombo S. C. 11. Dasfaa 13. Kalemba B. 19. Manucho 31. Neymar 36. Patricios A.
Coaches
Barker S.	Maurilio S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Joca 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, De Jong A. ⚽, Toure O. (A),
64', Danilson ↓, Neymar ↑,
65', 2 - 0, De Jong A. (Pen),
78', Cuca ↓, Manucho ↑,
78', Joca ↓, Kalemba B. ↑,
79', De Jong A. ↓, Godswill E. ↑,
79', Lekoloane K. ↓, Cupido A. ↑,
83', Adams J. ↓, Jabaar I. ↑,
83', Butsaka C. ↓, Palace G. ↑,
85', Titus D. ↓, Langelihle P. ↑,
87', Nduli S. 🟨,
88', Magrinho ↓, Patricios A. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Stellenbosch is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lunda Sul is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lunda Sul could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Stellenbosch is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Stellenbosch won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stellenbosch FC
South African Premier Soccer League
28.12.24	Supersport United - Stellenbosch	1:1 ✺
18.12.24	Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
15.12.24	Lunda Sul - Stellenbosch	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Stellenbosch - Berkane	1:3 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
01.12.24	Orlando Pirates - Stellenbosch	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TLWLW
- CD Lunda Sul
CAF Confederation Cup
15.12.24	Lunda Sul - Stellenbosch	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Lunda Sul - Stade Malien	1:1 ✺
Angolan Girabola
01.12.24	Wiliete - Lunda Sul	2:0 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
27.11.24	Berkane - Lunda Sul	2:0 ✺
Angolan Girabola
09.11.24	Lunda Sul - São Salvador	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

CAF Confederation Cup
15.12.24	Lunda Sul - Stellenbosch	0:1

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