Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 11

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski		Barycz Sułów

	1	X	2
	3.20	3.40	1.93
	2.90	3.30	2.10
	3.12	3.33	2.03
	3.47	3.66	1.88	Watch
	3.05	3.25	2.01
	3.32	4.01	2.01	Watch
	2.77	3.51	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.77)	3.49 ↓ (3.51)	2 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski
29%

Draw
25.9%

Barycz Sułów
45.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32%

25.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

24.6%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Barycz Sułów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barycz Sułów than the current prediction. (-1%)

Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski - Barycz Sułów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 1)

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 10th and 4th).

Stilon Gorzów has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Barycz Sułów shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Barycz Sułów could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Sulow	14	6	3	5	21:19	2	21
11	Stilon Gorzow	14	4	5	5	21:22	-1	17

Last Results with these Odds

Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 31.98%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski
Polish Division 3 - Group III
26.09.26	Carina Gubin - Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski - ROW Rybnik	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski	4:2 ✺
05.09.26	Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Miedź Legnica 2 - Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTLTT
- Barycz Sułów
Polish Division 3 - Group III
26.09.26	Barycz Sułów - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	3:3 ✺
18.09.26	Odra Bytom Odrzański - Barycz Sułów	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Barycz Sułów - Polkowice	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Barycz Sułów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	Carina Gubin - Barycz Sułów	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLWWW

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