Match Info

ICELAND: Besta deild karla - Round 20

Date: 26 August 2024, Monday

Location: Stjornuvollur (Gardabaer)

Referee: Jonsson J. I. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	Stod 2 Sport
World	Onefootball app


	Stjarnan		HK Kópavogur

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.3	5.5	7.25
	1.3	5.5	8	Watch
	1.32	6.08	8.19
	1.35	5.81	7.41	Watch
	1.25	5.5	8
	1.31	5.75	7.8	Watch
	1.3	5.5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.7)	5.66 ↑ (4.33)	7.81 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stjarnan
71.6%

Draw
16.5%

HK Kópavogur
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

21.7%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

21.7%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stjarnan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stjarnan's performance.

HK Kópavogur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HK Kópavogur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stjarnan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HK Kópavogur than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HK Kópavogur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Stjarnan - HK Kópavogur Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Stjarnan will win (votes: 7 - 70%). HK Kópavogur will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stjarnan: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Olafsson A. (G) 15. Valdimarsson T. 5. Kristjansson G. 24. Jonsson S. 32. Orvarsson O. 30. Kjartansson K. 7. Eggertsson O. 4. Omarsson O. 10. Halldorsson H. 80. Thorkelsson R. 22. Atlason E.	1. Petersen C. (G) 2. Frostason K. S. 6. Jonsson B. 4. Leifsson L. 21. Jonsson I. 18. Arnarson A. 8. Atlason A. 10. Andrason A. 9. Saebjornsson E. 22. Fjeldsted D. 30. Jonasson A.
Substitutes
14. Barkarson J. H. 47. Baxter B. 41. Gudjonsson A. M. 9. Laxdal D. 18. Nokkvason G. 13. Rosenorn M. (G) 45. Vidisson A. I.	5. Antonsson T. 33. Jonsson H. 7. Nunn G. 14. Palsson B. 23. Shihab T. 12. Stefansson S. (G) 28. Thorvarsson T.
Coaches
Elisabetarson J.	Gudmundsson O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Eggertsson O. ⚽, Omarsson O. (A),
24', Eggertsson O. 🟨,
38', Atlason A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 2 - 0, Omarsson O. ⚽, Thorkelsson R. (A),
61', Leifsson L. 🟨,
67', Valdimarsson T. 🟨,
69', 🟨,
70', Andrason A. ↓, Nunn G. ↑,
70', Arnarson A. ↓, Shihab T. ↑,
71', Saebjornsson E. ↓, Jonsson H. ↑,
81', Omarsson O. ↓, Barkarson J. H. ↑,
81', Frostason K. S. ↓, Thorvarsson T. ↑,
88', Jonsson B. 🟨,
89', Thorkelsson R. ↓, Laxdal D. ↑,
89', Kjartansson K. ↓, Nokkvason G. ↑,
90+2', Halldorsson H. ↓, Gudjonsson A. M. ↑,
90+2', Atlason E. ↓, Baxter B. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UMF Stjarnan
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
18.08.24	KA Akureyri - Stjarnan	1:1 ✺
11.08.24	Stjarnan - Breiðablik	2:2 ✺
06.08.24	Fram - Stjarnan	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.24	Paide LM - Stjarnan	4:0 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
28.07.24	Akraness - Stjarnan	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTLLW
- HK Kópavogur
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
22.08.24	HK Kópavogur - KR Reykjavík	3:2 ✺
18.08.24	HK Kópavogur - Fylkir	0:2 ✺
11.08.24	Valur - HK Kópavogur	5:1 ✺
28.07.24	Vikingur Reykjavik - HK Kópavogur	5:1 ✺
20.07.24	HK Kópavogur - Vestri	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
22.06.24	HK Kópavogur - Stjarnan	4:3
Icelandic League Cup
29.02.24	Stjarnan - HK Kópavogur	4:0
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
23.07.23	HK Kópavogur - Stjarnan	1:1
24.04.23	Stjarnan - HK Kópavogur	5:4
20.09.21	HK Kópavogur - Stjarnan	1:0
20.06.21	Stjarnan - HK Kópavogur	2:1
27.09.20	HK Kópavogur - Stjarnan	2:3

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