Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 8

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Danderyd IP (Stocksund)


	Stocksund		Haninge

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.2	3.75	1.83
	3.1	4.2	1.92
	3.05	4.85	1.98
	3.01	4.61	1.94	Watch
	3.01	4.47	1.9	Watch
	3.1	4.2	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (4.35)	4.35 ↓ (4.5)	1.92 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stocksund
30.2%

Draw
21.4%

Haninge
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

20%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

19.5%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stocksund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stocksund's performance.

Haninge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Haninge might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stocksund than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stocksund that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haninge than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Haninge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stocksund - Haninge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cavallius L. (G) 3. af Ugglas L. 7. Aliyu I. S. 8. Andersson F. 5. Bodvik E. 14. Ekong S. 4. Jonsson C. 10. Lundstrom J. 9. Maache N. 13. Rylander E. 6. Tesfai E.	1. Alpek C. (G) 7. Andue A. 2. Beko S. 11. Dibba P. (C) 8. Kass Kawo O. 23. Lindkvist R. 22. Miguel W. 3. Nieminen Eriksson F. 19. Tesfay J. 16. Tuhral A. 10. Zengin E.
Substitutes
12. Abrahamsson O. 11. Badome S. 17. Bengtsson J. 2. Johansson J. 31. Liantas C. (G) 16. Mesanovic M. 15. Persson E.	9. Hamidovic E. 4. Id Salem A. 18. Josefsson D. 25. Kawawa K. (G) 12. Lenerius L. 21. Rajamohan A. 13. Royo C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Dibba P. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Ekong S. ⚽,
34', 1 - 2, Miguel W. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 🟨,
57', 2 - 2, Andersson F. ⚽,
90', 3 - 2, Ekong S. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Superettan).

Recent form of Stocksund has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Haninge is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Haninge might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Stocksund won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Stocksund
Swedish Division 1 Norra
11.05.25	Karlstad - Stocksund	4:1 ✺
04.05.25	Gefle - Stocksund	1:2 ✺
25.04.25	Stocksund - Karlberg	0:2 ✺
18.04.25	Stocksund - Örebro Syrianska	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Vasalund - Stocksund	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWLLL
- IFK Haninge
Swedish Division 1 Norra
10.05.25	Haninge - Karlberg	0:2 ✺
03.05.25	Haninge - Arlanda	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Stockholm Internazionale - Haninge	1:2 ✺
18.04.25	Haninge - Karlstad	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Örebro Syrianska - Haninge	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
12.06.19	Haninge - Stocksund	3:4 penalties

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