Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 14

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Gavlevallen (Gävle)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Gefle		Stocksund

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.80	3.75	3.30
	1.76	3.70	3.60	Watch
	1.87	4.41	3.05
	1.87	4.63	3.11	Watch
	1.83	4.3	2.95
	1.78	4.15	3.39	Watch
	1.69	4.01	3.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.6)	4.14 ↓ (4.15)	3.32 ↓ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gefle
50.6%

Draw
22%

Stocksund
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

21.9%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

21.2%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gefle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gefle's form might have worsened.

Stocksund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stocksund's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gefle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stocksund than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stocksund, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gefle - Stocksund Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Croon M. (G) 13. Berggren M. 6. Edman I. 4. Hansemon T. 5. Ismail D. (C) 8. Kouyate M. 2. Larsson E. 16. Nehrman R. 11. Vikgren L. 14. Yaldir D. 9. Zahirovic A.	1. Rhawi J. (G) 7. Boto D. 2. Floric A. 10. Johansson A. 8. Lager S. 3. Mihajlovic L. 9. Rauf Y. 4. Royo C. 6. Tesfai E. 5. Vogele M. 11. Wennerlind L.
Substitutes
77. Hasanbegovic M. 22. Hedvall W. (G) 19. Javette C. 3. Kristiansen F. 23. Lundstrom N. 20. Sugita Y.	12. Badome S. 20. Bodvik E. 19. Engstrom K. 17. Hussein D. 16. Johansson J. 15. Maache N. 14. Mumuni A. L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Rauf Y. ⚽, Floric A. (A),
24', Rauf Y. 🟨,
37', Tesfai E. ↓, Badome S. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Larsson E. 🟨,
52', 1 - 1, Berggren M. ⚽,
80', Berggren M. ↓, Lundstrom N. ↑,
80', Rauf Y. ↓, Engstrom K. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Vikgren L. ⚽, Kouyate M. (A),
84', Vikgren L. 🟨,
86', Lager S. ↓, Bodvik E. ↑,
89', Badome S. ↓, Mumuni A. L. ↑,
90+3', Zahirovic A. ↓, Sugita Y. ↑,
90+10', Yaldir D. 🟨,
90+10', Floric A. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Gefle has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Stocksund has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gefle is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gefle won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Gefle won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Gefle	25	9	3	13	29:43	-14	30
16	Stocksund	25	3	6	16	45:61	-16	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gefle IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
18.06.26	Gefle - Stockholm Internazionale	0:2 ✺
13.06.26	Karlstad - Gefle	2:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
10.06.26	Falu - Gefle	1:0 penalties ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
06.06.26	Gefle - Hammarby TFF	0:4 ✺
01.06.26	Arlanda - Gefle	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLLW
- IFK Stocksund
Swedish Division 1 Norra
18.06.26	Arlanda - Stocksund	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Stocksund - Sollentuna	3:3 ✺
08.06.26	Järfälla - Stocksund	1:6 ✺
Svenska Cupen
04.06.26	Stocksund - Stockholm Internazionale	0:1 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
31.05.26	Umeå - Stocksund	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
27.09.25	Stocksund - Gefle	2:2
04.05.25	Gefle - Stocksund	1:2

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