The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stoke City U21 47.3%
Draw 22.1%
Derby County U21 30.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.5%
20.3%
22.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.5%
19.6%
21.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stoke City U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stoke City U21's form might have worsened.
Derby County U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derby County U21's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City U21 than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stoke City U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derby County U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Stoke City U21 - Derby County U21 Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
69', 0 - 1, Oguntolu J. ⚽,
90+8', 1 - 1, Curley R. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke U21 won 4.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Stoke U21 could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Stoke U21 won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 2.7:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Stoke U21 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 3:1.5).
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