Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group II - Round 34

Date: 8 June 2024, Saturday


	Stolem Gniewino		Elana Toruń

	1	X	2
	3.27	4	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (4.6)	4 ↓ (4.5)	1.8 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 11.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stolem Gniewino
27.5%

Draw
22.5%

Elana Toruń
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

20.1%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

19.2%

63%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stolem Gniewino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stolem Gniewino's performance.

Elana Toruń has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elana Toruń might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stolem Gniewino than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stolem Gniewino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elana Toruń than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elana Toruń could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
16', 0 - 1, Kuropatwinski K. ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Knera K. ⚽,
45', 0 - 3, Woroniecki K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 2).

Stolem Gniewino is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Elana Toruń is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Elana Toruń will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Stolem Gniewino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stolem Gniewino
Polish Division 3 - Group II
01.06.24	Stolem Gniewino - Luzino	0:1 ✺
25.05.24	Noteć Czarnków - Stolem Gniewino	3:0 ✺
18.05.24	Stolem Gniewino - Gedania Gdańsk	1:2 ✺
15.05.24	Swit Skolwin - Stolem Gniewino	2:0 ✺
12.05.24	Stolem Gniewino - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLLW
- Elana Toruń
Polish Division 3 - Group II
01.06.24	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Elana Toruń	1:2 ✺
25.05.24	Elana Toruń - Starogard Gdański	3:0 ✺
18.05.24	Pogoń Szczecin II - Elana Toruń	0:2 ✺
15.05.24	Elana Toruń - Cartusia Kartuzy	3:1 ✺
11.05.24	Elana Toruń - Unia Swarzędz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
18.11.23	Elana Toruń - Stolem Gniewino	3:0
21.08.21	Elana Toruń - Stolem Gniewino	5:1

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