Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group II - Round 32

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday


	Noteć Czarnków		Stolem Gniewino

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.7	2.75
	2.02	3.65	2.82
	2.12	3.58	2.9	Watch
	1.9	3.9	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.75)	3.71 ↓ (4.05)	2.88 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noteć Czarnków
44.5%

Draw
24.3%

Stolem Gniewino
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

22.2%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

21.4%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noteć Czarnków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Noteć Czarnków's form might have worsened.

Stolem Gniewino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noteć Czarnków than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Noteć Czarnków, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stolem Gniewino than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stolem Gniewino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Noteć Czarnków - Stolem Gniewino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKS Noteć Czarnków
Polish Division 3 - Group II
18.05.24	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Noteć Czarnków	3:1 ✺
15.05.24	Noteć Czarnków - Starogard Gdański	3:1 ✺
11.05.24	Pogoń Szczecin II - Noteć Czarnków	2:1 ✺
03.05.24	Noteć Czarnków - Cartusia Kartuzy	4:0 ✺
27.04.24	Unia Swarzędz - Noteć Czarnków	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLWL
- Stolem Gniewino
Polish Division 3 - Group II
18.05.24	Stolem Gniewino - Gedania Gdańsk	1:2 ✺
15.05.24	Swit Skolwin - Stolem Gniewino	2:0 ✺
12.05.24	Stolem Gniewino - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:0 ✺
04.05.24	Vineta Wolin - Stolem Gniewino	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Stolem Gniewino - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
04.11.23	Stolem Gniewino - Noteć Czarnków	2:1

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