Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group II - Round 31

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday


	Stolem Gniewino		Gedania Gdańsk

	1	X	2
	2.31	3.85	2.57	Watch
	2.45	3.6	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.5)	3.73 ↑ (3.65)	2.46 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stolem Gniewino
38.4%

Draw
24.5%

Gedania Gdańsk
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

24.7%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

24.6%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stolem Gniewino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Gedania Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stolem Gniewino than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gedania Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Stolem Gniewino - Gedania Gdańsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Manuszewski M. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Sobczynski P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 1 - 2, Sosnowski F. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 11).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Stolem Gniewino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Stolem Gniewino won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Stolem Gniewino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stolem Gniewino
Polish Division 3 - Group II
15.05.24	Swit Skolwin - Stolem Gniewino	2:0 ✺
12.05.24	Stolem Gniewino - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:0 ✺
04.05.24	Vineta Wolin - Stolem Gniewino	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Stolem Gniewino - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Stolem Gniewino	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWTTT
- Gedania Gdańsk
Polish Division 3 - Group II
15.05.24	Gedania Gdańsk - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:3 ✺
11.05.24	Starogard Gdański - Gedania Gdańsk	1:3 ✺
01.05.24	Gedania Gdańsk - Pogoń Szczecin II	2:1 ✺
27.04.24	Cartusia Kartuzy - Gedania Gdańsk	1:2 ✺
20.04.24	Gedania Gdańsk - Unia Swarzędz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.10.23	Gedania Gdańsk - Stolem Gniewino	0:1
11.03.23	Stolem Gniewino - Gedania Gdańsk	2:1
13.08.22	Gedania Gdańsk - Stolem Gniewino	3:0

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