Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group II - Round 27

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday


	Stolem Gniewino		Zawisza Bydgoszcz

	1	X	2
	3.6	4.5	1.6
	6.81	4.62	1.39	Watch
	4.78	4.25	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.06 ↑ (4.6)	4.46 ↓ (4.5)	1.51 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stolem Gniewino
18.2%

Draw
20.7%

Zawisza Bydgoszcz
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

20.1%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

21.3%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stolem Gniewino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Zawisza Bydgoszcz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stolem Gniewino than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zawisza Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Sliwowski O. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Sobieralski I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 3).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Zawisza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Zawisza is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stolem Gniewino won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Stolem Gniewino won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stolem Gniewino
Polish Division 3 - Group II
20.04.24	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Stolem Gniewino	2:2 ✺
14.04.24	Stolem Gniewino - Sokół Kleczew	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Stolem Gniewino - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	5:0 ✺
30.03.24	Starogard Gdański - Stolem Gniewino	0:1 ✺
23.03.24	Stolem Gniewino - Pogoń Szczecin II	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWWWL
- Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
20.04.24	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	3:1 ✺
13.04.24	Starogard Gdański - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:4 ✺
06.04.24	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Pogoń Szczecin II	3:0 ✺
30.03.24	Cartusia Kartuzy - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Unia Swarzędz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
01.10.23	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Stolem Gniewino	3:1
27.05.23	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Stolem Gniewino	0:2
29.10.22	Stolem Gniewino - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:0
21.05.22	Stolem Gniewino - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:1
16.10.21	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Stolem Gniewino	2:0

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