Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 40

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Stourbridge		Bishops Stortford

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	4.05
	1.69	3.76	4.29
	1.71	4	4.25	Watch
	1.7	3.4	4
	1.64	3.82	4.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.67)	3.72 ↓ (3.83)	4.19 ↑ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stourbridge
53.9%

Draw
24.5%

Bishops Stortford
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

23.7%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

23.1%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stourbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Bishops Stortford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stourbridge than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bishops Stortford than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Stourbridge - Bishops Stortford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Pavey C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, Smith J. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 16 and 14).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Stourbridge is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Stourbridge won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Stourbridge won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Stourbridge: 0.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Bishop's Stortford	9	3	1	5	10:13	-3	10
15	Stourbridge	9	2	4	3	9:12	-3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Stourbridge - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 54.41%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stourbridge FC
English Southern League Central Division
06.04.26	Stourbridge - Alvechurch	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Spalding United - Stourbridge	3:1 ✺
28.03.26	Stourbridge - St Ives Town	4:3 ✺
21.03.26	Stourbridge - Stratford Town	0:3 ✺
14.03.26	Bromsgrove Sporting - Stourbridge	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLWLW
- Bishops Stortford
English Southern League Central Division
06.04.26	Real Bedford - Bishops Stortford	4:0 ✺
03.04.26	Bishops Stortford - Stratford Town	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Stamford - Bishops Stortford	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Banbury United - Bishops Stortford	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Bishops Stortford - Alvechurch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
06.09.25	Bishops Stortford - Stourbridge	0:1
15.03.25	Stourbridge - Bishops Stortford	1:1
21.09.24	Bishops Stortford - Stourbridge	3:1

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