The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Strogino Moskva 10%
Draw 14.4%
Kaluga 75.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.5%
18%
63.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18%
17.5%
65.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Strogino Moskva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Strogino Moskva's form might have worsened.
Kaluga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kaluga's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strogino Moskva than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Strogino Moskva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kaluga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Spring Season: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Strogino won 4.
Strogino has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Kaluga is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Kaluga have a series of guest games.
In this match Kaluga is a favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Strogino won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Strogino won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.